668
FXUS64 KAMA 131849
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
149 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
-ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR THE WESTERN
PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON.
-LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING EASTER WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
A TROUGH IS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY WHICH HAS
CAUSED A BOUNDARY/COLD FRONT TO STALL IN THE NORTHERN PANHANDLES.
THE REST OF THE PANHANDLES REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LEE
TROUGH WITH WESTERLY WINDS OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THIS MEAN THAT THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLES WILL BE HOTTER THAN THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLES. THE NORTHERN PANHANDLES WILL SEE 80S TO LOW
90S WHILE THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLES SEE LOW TO MID 90S. REGARDLESS
OF TEMPERATURES THE ENTIRE PANHANDLES REMAIN DRY WHICH WHEN
COMBINED WITH THE GUSTY WINDS IS CURRENTLY CAUSING ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. LATER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING THE COLD
FRONT WILL PICK UP MOMENTUM AGAIN PUSHING IT ACROSS AND THEN SOUTH
OF THE PANHANDLES. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY COOLER AIR THAT
SETTLES ACROSS THE PANHANDLES FOR MONDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE THE
TEMPERATURES TO DROP DOWN TO THE 60S AND 70S ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES. THE SKIES FOR BOTH TODAY AND MONDAY WILL BE COVERED BY
CLOUDS HIDING THE SUN MORE OFTEN THAN NOT.
SH
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
FOR TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE THE A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS
WILL KEEP DRIER AIR ACROSS THE PANHANDLES LEADING TO FAIR AND CALM
WEATHER. UNDER THIS RIDGE THE PANHANDLES WILL SLOWLY GET WARMER
THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A MODERATE CHANCE OF SEEING
90S AGAIN ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
FOR FRIDAY AND NEXT WEEKEND A WEATHER SYSTEM THE DEVELOPED EARLIER
ACROSS THE WEST HAS BETTER ODDS THAN NOT TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MODERATE CHANCE OF DRAWING UP
MOISTURE INTO THE PANHANDLES LATE ON FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THIS SYSTEM IS ALREADY SHOWING FAVORABLE INDICATIONS THAT IT WILL
SUPPORT THE FORMATION OF BOTH RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE REMAINS QUESTIONS ABOUT THE TRAJECTORY
AND INTENSITY OF THIS NEXT WEEKEND SYSTEM WHICH WILL DICTATE
EXACTLY WHERE AND HOW STRONG ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE.
SH
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLES FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. KAMA AND KDHT WEST GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS TODAY BEFORE WEAKENING DURING THE
OVERNIGHT. THEN FOLLOWING COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT THE WINDS BECOME GUSTY AGAIN AND SHIFT TO THE NORTH.
KGUY WINDS REMAIN OUT OF THE NE THROUGH THE ENTIRE TIME AS THE
COLD FRONT HAS ALREADY STALLED TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATION.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMARILLO TX 49 67 43 70 / 0 0 0 0
BEAVER OK 45 67 36 73 / 0 0 0 0
BOISE CITY OK 40 61 37 71 / 0 0 0 0
BORGER TX 50 69 43 74 / 0 0 0 0
BOYS RANCH TX 48 67 42 74 / 0 0 0 10
CANYON TX 48 68 41 71 / 0 0 0 0
CLARENDON TX 53 69 45 69 / 0 0 0 0
DALHART TX 43 64 37 71 / 0 0 0 0
GUYMON OK 43 65 36 73 / 0 0 0 0
HEREFORD TX 48 69 41 71 / 0 0 0 10
LIPSCOMB TX 50 67 41 71 / 0 0 0 0
PAMPA TX 49 67 43 70 / 0 0 0 0
SHAMROCK TX 53 70 44 70 / 0 0 0 0
WELLINGTON TX 55 72 45 71 / 0 0 0 0
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....98
AVIATION...98
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