112
FXUS64 KAMA 140514
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1214 AM CDT MON APR 14 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
-ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR THE WESTERN
PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON.
-LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING EASTER WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
A TROUGH IS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY WHICH HAS
CAUSED A BOUNDARY/COLD FRONT TO STALL IN THE NORTHERN PANHANDLES.
THE REST OF THE PANHANDLES REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LEE
TROUGH WITH WESTERLY WINDS OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THIS MEAN THAT THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLES WILL BE HOTTER THAN THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLES. THE NORTHERN PANHANDLES WILL SEE 80S TO LOW
90S WHILE THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLES SEE LOW TO MID 90S. REGARDLESS
OF TEMPERATURES THE ENTIRE PANHANDLES REMAIN DRY WHICH WHEN
COMBINED WITH THE GUSTY WINDS IS CURRENTLY CAUSING ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. LATER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING THE COLD
FRONT WILL PICK UP MOMENTUM AGAIN PUSHING IT ACROSS AND THEN SOUTH
OF THE PANHANDLES. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY COOLER AIR THAT
SETTLES ACROSS THE PANHANDLES FOR MONDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE THE
TEMPERATURES TO DROP DOWN TO THE 60S AND 70S ACROSS THE
PANHANDLES. THE SKIES FOR BOTH TODAY AND MONDAY WILL BE COVERED BY
CLOUDS HIDING THE SUN MORE OFTEN THAN NOT.
SH
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
FOR TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE THE A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS
WILL KEEP DRIER AIR ACROSS THE PANHANDLES LEADING TO FAIR AND CALM
WEATHER. UNDER THIS RIDGE THE PANHANDLES WILL SLOWLY GET WARMER
THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A MODERATE CHANCE OF SEEING
90S AGAIN ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
FOR FRIDAY AND NEXT WEEKEND A WEATHER SYSTEM THE DEVELOPED EARLIER
ACROSS THE WEST HAS BETTER ODDS THAN NOT TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MODERATE CHANCE OF DRAWING UP
MOISTURE INTO THE PANHANDLES LATE ON FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THIS SYSTEM IS ALREADY SHOWING FAVORABLE INDICATIONS THAT IT WILL
SUPPORT THE FORMATION OF BOTH RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE REMAINS QUESTIONS ABOUT THE TRAJECTORY
AND INTENSITY OF THIS NEXT WEEKEND SYSTEM WHICH WILL DICTATE
EXACTLY WHERE AND HOW STRONG ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE.
SH
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT MON APR 14 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
AS OF 0513Z, AND BREEZY TO GUSTY NORTHERLY TO NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS ARE BEING OBSERVED BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY AS
WINDS TREND TOWARD EASTERLY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMARILLO TX 67 43 70 48 / 0 0 0 0
BEAVER OK 67 36 73 48 / 0 0 0 10
BOISE CITY OK 61 37 71 48 / 0 0 0 10
BORGER TX 69 43 74 50 / 0 0 0 10
BOYS RANCH TX 67 42 74 48 / 0 0 10 0
CANYON TX 68 41 71 46 / 0 0 0 0
CLARENDON TX 69 45 69 48 / 0 0 0 0
DALHART TX 64 37 71 45 / 0 0 0 10
GUYMON OK 65 36 73 47 / 0 0 0 10
HEREFORD TX 69 41 71 46 / 0 0 10 0
LIPSCOMB TX 67 41 71 49 / 0 0 0 10
PAMPA TX 67 43 70 49 / 0 0 0 10
SHAMROCK TX 70 44 70 47 / 0 0 0 10
WELLINGTON TX 72 45 71 48 / 0 0 0 0
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....98
AVIATION...52
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