143
FXUS64 KAMA 041730
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1130 AM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
- WARM TEMPERATURES AND EVEN RECORD HIGHS ARE PROJECTED ACROSS
THE COMBINED PANHANDLES TODAY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
PROJECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
NEAR TERM GUIDANCE AND NBM ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOW INCREASING
CONFIDENCE IN MEETING OR EXCEEDING RECORD HIGHS AT ALMOST ALL
CLIMATE SITES TODAY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION POTENTIALLY BEING DALHART,
AS THERE IS ONLY A 15% CHANCE TO REACH 85 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE, THE PALO DURO CANYON HAS A 50% TO REACH 90 DEGREES OR
WARMER TODAY. THESE UNUSUALLY WARM TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR MAY IMPACT UNPREPARED HIKERS. WHILE NO PRODUCTS WILL BE ISSUED
FOR THIS HAZARD, HEAT SAFETY PRACTICES ARE ADVISED FOR THOSE
PLANNING TO ENDURE THE AFTERNOON HEAT.
A COLD FRONT AND CORRESPONDING SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CWA WEDNESDAY MORNING. DAY TIME
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RETREAT BACK INTO THE 70'S, BUT PERHAPS
LINGER IN THE 80'S IN THE PDC. SURFACE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD
BE BREEZY, FLOWING FROM THE NORTHEAST.
RANGEL
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
HIGH PRESSURE GENERALLY REMAINS PROMINENT DURING THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. AFTER WEDNESDAY, A COUPLE MORE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIG INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. THE NEXT ONE IS EXPECTED TO
ARRIVE ON FRIDAY. THEN THE SECOND FRONT, THE STRONGER OF THE TWO,
WILL IMPACT THE CWA ON SUNDAY. THE REMAINING DAYS INBETWEEN FRONTAL
ACTIVITY THIS WEEK WILL EXPERIENCE WARM AIR ADVECTION AS HEIGHTS RE-
RISE IN THE WAKE OF OUR FRONTS.
HIGHS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK ARE FORECAST TO PROPAGATE BACK AND
FORTH BETWEEN THE 70'S AND 80'S. IT MAY NOT BE UNTIL NEXT WEEK WHERE
WE SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURN TO AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE VALUES.
SURFACE WINDS SHOULD STAY LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY BREEZY. POOR
MOISTURE QUALITY OVER THE AREA AND NO SIGNS OF MOISTURE ADVECTION
AMONGST GUIDANCE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP POPS ABSENT FROM THE DAYS 3-7
FORECAST. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW THIS WEEK DUE TO MOSTLY
LIGHT WINDS, BUT WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
RANGEL
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND WINDS IN THE 5-15KT RANGE. WIND
DIRECTIONS WILL VARY AS WE WILL HAVE A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
AFTER 06Z TONIGHT. KAMA WILL SEE MOSTLY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
THAT EVENTUALLY TRANSITION AROUND THE CLOCK TO A MORE
NORTHEASTERLY WIND 10-15KTS AROUND 15-18Z ON WEDNESDAY. KDHT AND
KGUY MAY SEE MORE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS PRIOR THE THE FRONT
ARRIVING TONIGHT, BUT STILL IN THE 5-10KT RANGE.
WEBER
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...89
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