161
FXUS64 KAMA 061206
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
606 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
UNUSUALLY WARM TEMPERATURES RETURN TODAY ALONGSIDE ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY ARE TRENDING COOLER. LOWS SUNDAY AND
MONDAY MORNING SHOULD EASILY FALL BELOW FREEZING AREAWIDE.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
SURFACE WINDS WILL VEER FROM SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT INTO
TOMORROW MORNING. WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RISE
BACK INTO THE 80'S FOR MOST LOCATIONS IN THE COMBINED PANHANDLES.
WIND SPEEDS WILL ALSO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY DUE TO A WEAK MID-
LEVEL JET MOVING ACROSS THE CWA. SUSTAINED WINDS MAY RANGE BETWEEN
15-25 MPH, GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER IS A
CONCERN FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN TX PANHANDLE TODAY DUE TO THESE
INCREASING WINDS, LOW (<20%) RH VALUES, AND MODERATELY CURED FUELS.
SURFACE WINDS HAVE A CHANCE TO STAY BREEZY AFTER SUNSET AS OUR COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. AS THE FRONT PASSES, THE WIND DIRECTION WILL
QUICKLY BECOME NORTHERLY.
FRIDAY, HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD RETURN TO THE 60'S AND 70'S. A
SURFACE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH AND PROMOTE
LIGHTER WINDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. FIRE WEATHER BECOMES LESS OF A
CONCERN TOMORROW AS RH RECOVERS AND WINDS BECOME LIGHT.
RANGEL
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
LONG RANGE MODELS ARE TRENDING COOLER FOR OUR SUNDAY COLD FRONT.
TEMPERATURES WERE DECREASED AS WE DEVIATED FROM THE NBM DURING
THAT TIME FRAME. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE NORTHERN ZONES OF OUR CWA
MAY NOT EXIT THE 40'S ON SUNDAY, WHILE THE REST OF THE AREA COULD
RESIDE IN THE LOWER 50'S. SOME MODEL ENSEMBLES SUGGEST THAT WE
COULD STILL BE COLDER THAT THE CURRENT FORECAST. SINCE GUIDANCE
HAS NOT FULLY SETTLED ON TEMPERATURES, THERE'S STILL ROOM FOR
HIGHS TO FALL. SUNDAY MORNING LOWS ARE FORECAST TO DROP BACK TO
FREEZING, WHILE LOWS ON MONDAY MAY STAY IN THE 20'S. OPERATIONAL
MODELS ARE KEEN ON HAVING TEMPERATURES REBOUND AFTER SUNDAY. 60'S
AND EVEN 70'S RETURN AS HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE MIDWEEK.
MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED IN THE EXTENDED; THEREFORE, POPS ALSO
REMAIN ABSENT.
RANGEL
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 528 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE 12Z TAF PERIOD.
EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS, AROUND 15 KTS GUSTING 25 KTS,
BETWEEN 18Z AND 00Z FRIDAY. WINDS ARE TO CALM DOWN BEFORE SHIFTING
TO THE NORTH BEHIND A COLD FRONT BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z FRIDAY.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...36
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