813
FXUS64 KAMA 062327
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
527 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
-ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY WITH BREEZY WINDS AND DRY
CONDITIONS.
-WINDY CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY BRING MUCH COLDER AIR TO THE
PANHANDLES. LOWS SUNDAY AND MONDAY HAVE A HIGH CHANCE OF FALLING
BELOW ZERO PANHANDLES WIDE.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
A WEAK DRY WEATHER SYSTEM IS MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
TODAY. THE PASSAGE OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL CAUSE THE BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PANHANDLES FOR TODAY. THESE WINDS WILL
BE SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING WHICH WILL DRIVE IN WARMER AND DRIER AIR TO THE
PANHANDLES. FURTHER THESE WINDS WILL BE DESCENDING IN ELEVATION
WHICH WILL ADD IN COMPRESSIONAL HEATING. THIS WILL MAKE TODAY A
WARM, DRY, AND WINDY DAY THAT IS FAVORABLE FOR ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSE IN THE SW
PANHANDLES WHERE CONDITIONS ARE DRIEST AND WINDIEST. IT IS BEST TO
AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT CAN LEAD TO WILDFIRE STARTS. THE WINDS WILL
COME TO AN END THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
WEATHER SYSTEM'S COLD FRONT. THE LOSS OF THE WINDS WILL ALSO BRING
TO A CLOSE ANY FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. BEHIND THE FRONT THE
WINDS WILL SHARPLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH WHICH WILL BRING IN COOLER
BUT STILL DRY AIR. SUCH A SETUP WILL MAKE IT SO THAT FRIDAY WILL
BE A TYPICAL AUTUMN DAY WITH COOL DRY CONDITIONS AND SUNNY SKIES
WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
SATURDAY HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF A DRY WEATHER SYSTEM PASSING ACROSS
THE PANHANDLES. WITH THE LACK OF MOISTURE THIS WEATHER SYSTEM IS
NOT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUD MUCH LESS
PRECIPITATION. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE PANHANDLES MAINLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS OF SATURDAY. POST
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE A NORTH WIND WILL SET UP LEADING TO WINDY
CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF LATE SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH EVENING.
THE WINDY CONDITIONS HAVE A LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE OF CAUSING
PATCHES OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THESE WINDS WILL
DRIVE IN MUCH COLDER AIR WHICH WILL CAUSE THE TEMPERATURES TO DROP
TO WELL BELOW NORMAL. SO BY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING
MUCH OF THE PANHANDLES WILL HAVE A HIGH CHANCE OF SEEING BELOW
FREEZING TEMPERATURES. THESE COLD CONDITIONS WILL THEN HAVE A HIGH
CHANCE OF HOLDING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING IN WHICH THE ENTIRE
PANHANDLES SEE A HARD FREEZE. SUCH A FREEZE WOULD CLOSE OUT THE
GROWING SEASON FOR THE LAST FEW COUNTIES THAT BARELY SQUEAKED BY
WITHOUT FREEZING FROM THE LAST COLD SNAP IN OCTOBER. THE COLD SNAP
WILL END JUST AS FAST AS IT ARRIVED WITH A LARGE SCALE HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS COME MONDAY
BRINGING WARMER CONDITIONS. THESE WARMER CONDITIONS THEN HAVE A
MODERATELY HIGH CHANCE OF PERSISTING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 522 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 00Z TAF PERIOD AT ALL
TAF SITES. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST, BECOMING
MORE SOUTHERLY BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH WINDS AT 5-10 KTS. SKIES
SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....98
AVIATION...29
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