298
FXUS64 KAMA 071731
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1131 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1047 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
-ROBUST COLD FRONT BRINGS WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PANHANDLES ON
SATURDAY.
-MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF OCCURRING
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. FREEZING MORNING LOWS FOR
BOTH SUNDAY MORNING AND MONDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1047 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE MILD AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH
AROUND NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THIS WILL CHANGE COME SATURDAY MORNING
WHEN A ROBUST WEATHER SYSTEM IMPACTS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS
WEATHER SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE PANHANDLES DURING
THE MORNING HOURS OF SATURDAY. POST COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE NORTH WINDS
WILL BLOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF SATURDAY. THESE WINDS WILL MOST
LIKELY BE GUSTING IN THE 30S MPH RANGE WITH A LOW CHANCE FOR
OCCASIONAL GUSTS IN THE 40S MPH RANGE. PATCHY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL HAVE A HIGH CHANCE OF OCCURRING DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS WITH SUCH WINDY CONDITIONS. THE WINDS WILL MOST
LIKELY COME TO AN END DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS OF SATURDAY.
THESE WINDS WILL BE DRIVING IN COLDER AIR ACROSS THE PANHANDLES
LEADING TO A DROP IN THE TEMPERATURES. NO MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WEATHER SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT SO NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1047 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
THE START OF NEXT WEEK HAS A VERY HIGH CHANCE OF BEING COLD AS THE
NORTHERLY WINDS OF SATURDAY BRING IN COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF COLD AIR.
THIS WILL SEE SUNDAY WITH MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES STARTING
OFF IN THE MORNING WITH FREEZING CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
PANHANDLES. SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF
BEING THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE WEEK WITH MUCH OF THE PANHANDLES IN
THE LOWER 20S TO EVEN HIGH TEENS. A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SE TX PANHANDLE AS THIS AREA HAS YET TO SEE FREEZING
TEMPERATURES AND IS STILL IN THE GROWING SEASON. FOR MONDAY THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK THERE IS A MODERATE TO HIGH CHANCE THAT A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
FOR THE PANHANDLES THIS PATTERN WOULD LEAD TO A WARMING TREND THAT
WILL SEE THE PANHANDLES GOING ABOVE NORMAL FOR TEMPERATURES.
NO MOISTURE IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO PASS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
DURING NEXT WEEK WITH DRY WEATHER PREVAILING.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1047 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLES FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT TODAY WITH A SLOW SHIFT
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. FOR THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS SPEED LLWS HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF SETTING UP AT ALL TERMINALS.
THIS LLWS WILL PERSIST UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF STRONG COLD FRONT DURING
THE MORNING OF SATURDAY. POST COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THE WINDS WILL BE
ROBUST WITH GUSTS IN THE 30S KT WITH A FURTHER LOW CHANCE OF
OCCASIONAL 40 KT GUSTS.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...FREEZE WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
TXZ014-015-019-020.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....98
AVIATION...98
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