340
FXUS64 KAMA 251054
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
454 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
- DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS -20 DEGREES IS EXPECTED
SUNDAY MORNING AND MONDAY MORNING.
- WINTRY PRECIPITATION CONTINUES ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
PANHANDLES EARLY THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF AN INCH
OR LESS FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE PANHANDLES
WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLES.
- MODERATE TO MAJOR WINTER IMPACTS RELATED TO TRAVEL IS STILL
EXPECTED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
BOTTOM LINE: DANGEROUSLY COLD AIR REMAINS ACROSS THE PANHANDLES
NOW THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THIS CAN QUICKLY LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA
AND FROST BITE. SNOWFALL CONTINUES THIS MORNING WITH ICY
CONDITIONS REMAINING ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES.
THE UPPER PORTION OF THE WINTER SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY PASSING ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING. THIS PORTION OF THE SYSTEM HAS
TAKEN A LITTLE MORE SOUTHERLY ROUTE WHICH IN TURN HAS PRODUCED
LESS LIFTING ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. THE LESSER AMOUNTS OF LIFT
HAVE KEPT THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE TX PANHANDLE OR EVEN FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.
STILL THERE IS SOME LIFT OVER THE PANHANDLES THAT WILL CONTINUE
TO CAUSE SNOW NOW THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS. FOR REMAINING
SNOW AMOUNTS THE CENTRAL PANHANDLES WILL MOST LIKELY SEE A TENTH
OF AN INCH TO AND AN INCH AND A HALF. THE HEAVIER HIT SOUTHEASTERN
PORTION OF THE TX PANHANDLE WILL MOST LIKELY SEE AN INCH AND A
HALF TO TWO AND HALF INCHES OF FURTHER SNOW. WHAT SNOW IS
OCCURRING WILL MOST LIKELY COME TO AN END DURING THE MID MORNING
HOURS AS THE UPPER PORTION OF THE SYSTEM EJECTS TO THE EAST TAKING
THE LIFT AND MUCH OF THE MOISTURE WITH IT. THIS WONT BE THE LAST
OF THE SNOW AS THIS EVENING ANOTHER SMALL WAVE WILL HAVE A LOW TO
MODERATE CHANCE OF CAUSING A BRIEF BURST OF LIGHT SNOW IN THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLES. THIS ROUND OF SNOW WILL LEAD TO A SMALL
AMOUNT OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF TRACE TO A FEW TENTHS OF AN
INCH. ALL THIS SNOW IS CAUSING ICY ROAD CONDITIONS ACROSS LARGE
PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES SO CAUTION IS HIGHLY ADVISED FOR ALL
TRAVELERS.
COME MONDAY THE PATTERN SHIFT TO THAT OF A DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL HELP TO SHUNT THE COLDEST
AIR TO THE EAST LEADING TO WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR THE AFTERNOON.
THE PRIOR SNOWFALL WILL MITIGATE SOME OF THE WARMING THAT WILL
TAKE PLACE. SO THE MORE SNOW THAT YOU HAVE THE LONGER THE COLD
WILL STICK AROUND OVER THE COMING DAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLES. SINCE THE FLOW IS DRY SUNNY SKIES ARE
EXPECTED BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LAST OF THE MOISTURE LEAVES
THE PANHANDLES.
THIS WEATHER SYSTEM IS KEEPING VERY COLD AIR ACROSS THE PANHANDLES
WHICH IS LEADING TO DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES NOW THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THE LOWS THIS MORNING AND AGAIN FOR MONDAY
MORNING WILL BE DOWN TO THE POSITIVE TO NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS. TO
FURTHER COMPOUND THERE WILL BE WEAKLY BREEZY WINDS WHICH WILL
LEAD TO WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS NEGATIVE 20 FOR BOTH MORNINGS AS
WELL. SUCH TEMPERATURES CAN RAPIDLY LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR FROST
BITE TO ANYONE THAT IS NOT PROPERLY DRESSED. BE SURE TO HAVE
ADEQUATE SHELTER AND WARMTH FOR ANY PERSON, PET, OR ANIMAL WITH
THESE COLD TEMPERATURES.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY IS STILL SHAPING UP TO BE A DRY
PERIOD FOR THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AS A BROAD NORTHWESTERLY TO
NORTHERLY. THIS FLOW WILL KEEP THE PANHANDLES A LITTLE COLDER THAN
NORMAL BUT ALSO PREVENT MOISTURE FROM REACHING US AS WELL.
COME LATER THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE IS BUILDING CONFIDENCE
FOR A SMALL SCALE WEATHER SYSTEM TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. THE MOST LIKELY IMPACT FROM THIS SYSTEM IS IT PUSHING EVEN
COLDER AIR BACK ACROSS THE PANHANDLES LEADING TO A DIP IN THE
TEMPERATURES. WHAT IS STILL UNCERTAIN IS HOW MUCH, IF ANY,
MOISTURE THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE. RIGHT NOW IT WILL MOST LIKELY HAVE
ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT OF MOISTURE LEADING TO A VERY LOW CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 451 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY PRESENT ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. THERE
WILL BE A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EARLY EVENING IN GUYMON AND DALHART WHICH COULD BRING ABOUT SOME
REDUCED VISIBILITY AT TIMES. OTHERWISE, MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS ARE
FAVORED TO RETURN LATE TONIGHT FOR GUYMON AND DALHART.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ001>003-006-
007-011.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST MONDAY
FOR TXZ001>011-016.
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ004-005-008>010-
012>020-317.
EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST MONDAY
FOR TXZ012>015-017>020-317.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ014-015-019-020.
OK...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR OKZ001-002.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST MONDAY
FOR OKZ001>003.
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR OKZ003.
SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....98
AVIATION...52
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