987
FXUS64 KAMA 261117
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
517 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
- DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT ACROSS
THE PANHANDLES, LARGELY RANGING FROM -5 DEGREES TO -15 DEGREES.
- LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE NORTHERN COMBINED PANHANDLES AND
EVEN INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AS WELL.
MEASURABLE ACCUMULATIONS ARE MAINLY FOR THE NORTHERN PANHANDLES,
RANGING MOSTLY BETWEEN A TRACE TO 0.5". THERE IS A LOW CHANCE
FOR HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH.
- LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE FOR FREEZING FOG FOR THE PANHANDLES THIS
MORNING. CHANCES INCREASE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN TX PANHANDLE.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
A SMALL WEATHER SYSTEM IS PASSING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS
MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS ENOUGH LIFT AND MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH
IT TO CAUSE BANDS OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE PANHANDLES THIS
MORNING. THE CHANCES FOR SNOW INCREASE FROM VERY LOW (5-15%) IN
THE SOUTHERN TX PANHANDLES TO LOW TO MODERATE (30-50%) IN THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLES. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL MOST
LIKELY BE LOW AT A TRACE TO HALF AN INCH WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS IN
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLES. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR THE SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS TO TOP AN INCH CLOSE TO THE OKLAHOMA/KANSAS/COLORADO
BORDER. WHAT SNOW THE PANHANDLES WILL RECEIVE THIS MORNING WILL
COME TO AN END BY THE MID MORNING HOURS AS THE WEATHER SYSTEM
DEPARTS TO THE EAST. HOWEVER, THAT WILL BRING ANOTHER HAZARD TO
THE PANHANDLES IN THE FORM OF FREEZING FOG. THIS IS MOST LIKELY TO
FORM DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS AND LAST UNTIL THE LATER MORNING
HOURS. THE MOST LIKELY FORMATION AREA FOR THE FREEZING FOG IS IN
THE SOUTHERN TX PANHANDLE WITH DECREASING CHANCES FOR THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN PANHANDLES. AFTER THE FREEZING FOG HAS DISSIPATED
SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THROUGH THE REST OF
MONDAY. TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING IS ALREADY LOOKING FAVORABLE
FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF FREEZING FOG. SO ONCE WE NARROW DOWN THE
AREA IT CAN FORM DO NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE IT IN FUTURE
FORECASTS.
THIS MORNING STILL HAS COLD AIR ACROSS THE PANHANDLES WHICH IS
LEADING TO MORNING LOWS IN THE POSITIVE TO NEGATIVE SINGLE
DIGITS. THE WINDS ARE WEAKLY BREEZY WHICH IS STILL ENOUGH TO CAUSE
BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS THAT CAN DROP TO NEGATIVE 15. THIS CAN
QUICKLY CAUSE BOTH HYPOTHERMIA AND FROST BITE TO BOTH PEOPLE AND
PETS. THANKFULLY THE COLD AIR WILL BE MOVING TO THE EAST AS A
BROAD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW SETUP LEADING TO WARMER TEMPERATURES
GOING INTO TUESDAY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
THE BROAD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF REMAINING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WOULD CONTINUE
THE STRETCH OF DRY AND FAIR WEATHER ACROSS THE PANHANDLES.
COME THURSDAY A SMALL WEATHER SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF MOVING
THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE
MOST LIKELY IMPACT OF THIS SYSTEM IS TOR BRING IN SOMEWHAT COLDER
AIR CAUSING A DROP IN THE TEMPERATURES. THERE IS STILL COME
UNCERTAINTY ON WHETHER THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH IT. CURRENTLY THE BEST ODDS ARE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO HAVE
LITTLE TO NO MOISTURE WHICH MEANS THE CHANCES FOR ANY
PRECIPITATION ARE VERY LOW.
GOING INTO THE WEEKEND THERE IS BUILDING CONFIDENCE THAT A RIDGE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WOULD CONTINUE TO KEEP
A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MAKING THE
PANHANDLES WEATHER DRY AND FAIR. WITH INCREASING PRESSURE THE
TEMPERATURES ARE MORE LIKELY THAN NOT GOING TO RISE WITH A LOW
CHANCE OF GOING ABOVE NORMAL BY SUNDAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 511 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
LINGERING FLURRIES CONTINUE TO BE OFF AND ON AT ALL THREE
TERMINALS THIS EARLY MORNING. THESE FLURRIES HAVE BEEN SOMEWHAT
OF A MIXED BLESSING AS THEY HAVE KEPT THE ATMOSPHERE MIXED ENOUGH
TO REDUCE THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING FOG AND DROP MENTION OF IT
OUT OF THE PRESENT PACKAGE. HOWEVER, SHOULD CONDITIONS BEGIN TO
CLEAR OUT BEFORE THE SUN RISES THAN WE COULD STILL SEE A BRIEF
POCKET BUILD OVER KAMA. REGARDLESS, CONDITIONS SHOULD DRY OUT BY
THE LATE MORNING WITH ALL TERMINALS RETURN TO VFR FOR THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ001>011-016.
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ012>015-017>020-
317.
OK...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR OKZ001>003.
SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....98
AVIATION...11
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