335
FXUS64 KAMA 261738
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1138 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- COLD OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS CONTINUE THE
NEXT COUPLE OF MORNINGS.
- AFTER A BRIEF MIDWEEK WARM UP, COOLER TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW
PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN LATER THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
MORNING SATELLITE AND MESOANALYSIS SHOW NORTHWEST FLOW ATOP THE
REGION USHERING IN A PRONOUNCED CORRIDOR OF MID-LEVEL DRY AIR.
FREEZING FOG AND LIGHT FLURRIES HAVE LINGERED MUCH OF THE MORNING AS
TEMPERATURES PLUMMETED, BUT ARE BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE AS DAYTIME
HEATING COMMENCES. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL STAY CHILLY ACROSS A
MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST TX
PANHANDLE WHERE DEEPEST SNOWPACK REMAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM 40S IN THE NORTHWEST TO 20S IN THE SOUTHEAST. BREEZY WINDS OUT
OF THE WEST-SOUTHWEST WILL MAKE IT FEEL EVEN COOLER, SUSTAINED AT 10-
15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT,
ALLOWING LOWS TO DROP IN THE LOW TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS YET AGAIN. A
WEAK BOUNDARY WILL PASS OVER THE REGION WITH A TROUGH ARRIVAL
TOMORROW, BUT WILL STILL ALLOW FOR WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
DAY. MORE SIGNIFICANT MELTING OF SNOW SHOULD OCCUR AS HIGHS REACH
THE UPPER 30S AND 40S WITH MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
HARREL
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
LONG RANGE PROBABILISTIC AND ENSEMBLE DATA SUPPORT A QUIETER STRETCH
OF WEATHER FAVORED MID-WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
A SLIGHT HINT FOR SOME ACTIVITY FRI-SAT. WED LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST
DAY OF THE WEEK FOR THE PANHANDLES AS WE SIT IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS,
POSITIONING A WEAK AND SHORT LIVED UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE ATOP THE
PLAINS. HIGHS WILL BE RIGHT AROUND SEASONAL AVERAGES IN THE LOW 50S,
ASIDE FROM ANY COOL SPOTS IN THE SOUTHEAST DUE TO LINGERING SNOW
PACK. ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH WITHIN NORTHWEST FLOW WILL ALLOW A COLD
FRONT TO DIVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THURSDAY, RETURNING BREEZY NORTH
WINDS AND COOLER, SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. FRIDAY INTO
THE WEEKEND, MODELS SHOW A DEEPENING GREAT LAKES TROUGH CUTTING OFF
INTO A CLOSED LOW AS IT SWINGS ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. THIS WOULD
LIKELY CLIP THE HIGH PLAINS WITH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AXIS,
SENDING A WEAK DISTURBANCE AND STRONGER PUSH OF COLD AIR OUR WAY
BEHIND A REINFORCING FRONT. PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL IS IN DOUBT WITH
THIS SYSTEM, AS BOTH TROUGH TRACK AND MOISTURE AVAILABILITY APPEAR
LESS THAN IDEAL, LEADING TO MEAGER 15% POPS. BASED ON TEMPERATURE
PROFILES, IF PRECIP DOES MATERIALIZE IT WOULD LIKELY BE LIGHT SNOW
OF INCONSEQUENTIAL AMOUNTS.
HARREL
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
CLOUDS AND FOG HAVE CLEARED OUT THIS MORNING, LEAVING VFR
CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE
BREEZY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS
AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE BUT SHIFT OUT OF THE
NORTH BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW.
HARREL
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...38
LONG TERM....38
AVIATION...38
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