813
FXUS64 KAMA 281707
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1107 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1025 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
-BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND COLD FRONT FOR TOMORROW WITH SOME
GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES.
-SECOND COLD FRONT COOLS US DOWN FIRST HALF OF WEEKEND, WITH WARM
UP BACK INTO 60S BY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1025 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
STILL SOME RESIDUAL SNOW PACK WE CAN SEE ON THE LATEST SATELLITE
IMAGERY THIS MORNING IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN TX PANHANDLE.
HOWEVER, WITH SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS, LATEST 17Z OBS SHOW
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE FREEZING WITH VALUES INTO THE 40S AND EVEN
A FEW LOWER 50S. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
THROUGHOUT THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY TOMORROW. DECENT H500 HEIGHT
FALLS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH
NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 30-40 MPH AT TIMES. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TOMORROW WILL RANGE FROM LOWER 40S IN THE EASTERN PANHANDLES WHERE
COOLER AIRMASS WILL BE TO MID 50S FOR THE WESTERN PANHANDLES.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1025 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE DEEPENING H500 TROUGH AXIS ON THE
EASTERN 2/3 CONUS, A SUBTLE PERTURBATION IN THE MEAN FLOW MAY
PRODUCE A LIGHT SNOW SHOWER OR SOME FLURRIES FOR FRIDAY NIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PANHANDLES. THESE SNOW CHANCES
(ABOUT A 20% CHANCE AT THIS TIME) ALSO COINCIDE WITH A SECOND COLD
FRONT TO ENTER THE REGION. SNOW CHANCES WONT BE LARGE SCALE
COVERAGE, BUT ENOUGH FOR SOME SNOW TO FALL WITH ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS
EXPECTED. DRY CONDITIONS THEN RETURN THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE
FRONT FOR SATURDAY WILL BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE BEFORE RISING TO
ABOVE AVERAGE SUNDAY THOUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WE ENTER THE FIRST
FEW DAYS OF FEBRUARY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 507 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
DRY WEATHER HOLDS AGAIN FOR TODAY WITH ALL TERMINALS HOLDING AT
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PACKAGE. HOWEVER, WINDS DOWN AT THE
SURFACE ARE LIKELY TO PICKUP WITH THE APPROACHING FRONT TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. GUST UPWARDS OF 30 KTS ARE POSSIBLE DURING
THIS TIME, WITH SPEEDS EXPECTED TO STAY UP DURING THE OVERNIGHT
AND MORNING HOURS THANKS TO GOOD LOW-LEVEL JET PRESENCE BEHIND THE
FRONT. THIS JET MAY ALSO CAUSE LOW-LEVEL WINDS SHEAR FOR THE
TERMINALS TONIGHT. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO
INCLUDED MENTION IN CURRENT PACKAGE.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...11
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