360
FXUS64 KAMA 300442
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1042 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1039 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
NON-IMPACTFUL SNOW FLURRIES HAVE A LOW CHANCE OF OCCURRING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.
COLD OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL AFFECT THOSE WHO ARE OUTDOORS SATURDAY
MORNING. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1039 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
TODAY, WE SEE THE EFFECTS OF OUR LATEST COLD FRONT IMPACT THE CWA.
LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY UNTIL THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH. THEN WIND SPEEDS WILL BECOME BREEZY, MAINLY AFFECTING
THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE IN THE 50'S ACROSS THE
REGION DUE TO THE TIMING OF THE TROUGH BEING LATER IN THE DAY.
OVERNIGHT, SNOW FLURRIES STILL HAVE A LOW CHANCE (<15%) OF
OCCURRING. HOWEVER, THE LATEST 00Z CAMS CONTINUE TO DECREASE THE
POTENTIAL COVERAGE. EVEN THE MORE BULLISH NAM PRODUCTS ARE
DECREASING PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AS WELL. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
SUGGEST THAT LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED WITH ANY SNOW
THAT FALLS. 12Z HREF DATA STILL SHOWS A 50-70% FOR AT LEAST 0.1" OF
SNOW IN BEAVER COUNTY AND COUNTIES SURROUNDING. SO IF ANY
ACCUMULATION WERE TO OCCUR, THOSE AREAS ARE THE MOST LIKELY TO
RECEIVE IT.
LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY MORNING WILL DECREASE BACK INTO THE TEENS
FOR MOST AREAS. THOUGH NIGHT TIME WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT,
THERE WILL BE ENOUGH OF A WIND COMPONENT TO DROP WIND CHILL VALUES
INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. BY THE AFTERNOON, THE EASTERN FOCUSED
PLACEMENT OF THE COLD AIR MASS WILL PROMOTE A SHARP DECREASE IN
TEMPERATURES FOR THE EASTERN COMBINED PANHANDLES. THE HIGH
TEMPERATURE GRADIENT INCREASES WESTWARD, WHERE THE WESTERN HALF OF
OUR CWA MAY STILL BE IN THE 40'S WITH SOME SPOTTY 50'S POTENTIALLY
AFFECTING LOCALIZED AREAS. SURFACE WINDS REVERT BACK TO
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND WILL BE BREEZY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
RANGEL
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1039 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
SUNDAY, THE H500 RIDGE QUICKLY REDEVELOPS OVER CWA AND WARM AIR
ADVECTION DOMINATES THE START OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY HAVE A CHANCE TO BE +20 DEGREES WARMER THAN
SATURDAY. MOST LOCATIONS IN THE COMBINED PANHANDLES WILL BE SUBJECT
TO HIGHS IN THE 60'S. THIS TREND CONTINUES INTO MONDAY, AS HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 60'S, WITH PERHAPS A FEW 70'S POSSIBLE
IN SOME OF THE WARM SPOTS IN OUR FA, LIKE THE CANADIAN RIVER VALLEY
AND PALO DURO CANYON. OUR NEXT COLD FRONT IS ANTICIPATED TO ARRIVE
ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BY THEN SHOULD RETURN TO AVERAGE
VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL NOT FLUCTUATE TOO
MUCH DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD, KEEPING TO THE 20'S AND LOWER 30'S
EACH DAY. THE NBM CONTINUES TO BACK OFF OF POPS FOR THE TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY MORNING TIME FRAME. LONG RANGE MODELS SHOW A DISPLACED
MOISTURE AXIS, FAVORING THE FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES AND THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL CONUS WHERE EAST TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA ARE MORE AT PLAY. OUR
CURRENT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION STEM FROM MOISTURE MOVING OFF OF
THE HIGH TERRAIN AND INTO THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS.
RANGEL
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 522 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL SITES FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. LOW CEILINGS MAY EFFECT THE TERMINALS OUTSIDE THE
CURRENT TAF PERIOD, SO WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
RANGEL
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55
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