734
FXUS64 KAMA 311111
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
511 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
- FREEZING FOG IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLES TONIGHT
WHICH WOULD LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITY.
- COLDER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY BEFORE ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THE NEXT WORK WEEK.
- THERE ARE LOW CHANCES (15-20 PERCENT) FOR RAIN/SNOW ON TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT HAS MOVED ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES THIS EVENING, IN ITS WAKE, NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE BROUGHT
IN A COOLER AIR MASS AND PLENTIFUL CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE REGION.
FREEZING FOG HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT WITH
VISIBILITY DECREASING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN PANHANDLES. THE BANK
OF FOG MAY EXPAND FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
OVERNIGHT. CANNOT RULE OUT FOG REACHING AS FAR EAST AS DUMAS TO
AMARILLO, SO BE PREPARED FOR REDUCED VISIBILITY IF TRAVELING TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE POTENTIAL FOR DRIZZLE HAS DECREASED OVER
THE LAST FEW HOURS, BUT STILL CANNOT RULE OUT A VERY LIGHT GLAZE OF
ICE ON ELEVATED SURFACES IN FOG/LIGHT DRIZZLE.
NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TODAY AS A TROUGH DIGS
SOUTH TOWARDS THE GULF OF AMERICA TODAY. LOW LEVEL CLOUDS MAY LINGER
THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES, WHICH
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE TODAY. AS WINDS BECOME
SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON, THAT SHOULD START
BRINGING IN SOME WAA, BUT HIGHS ARE STILL ONLY FORECAST TO BE IN THE
30S TO 40S. IN FACT, SOME AREAS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PANHANDLES
MAY STAY RIGHT AROUND OR BELOW FREEZING FOR HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS COULD BE A BIT BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON AS A LEESIDE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM DEVELOPS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO TODAY.
RIDGING DEVELOPS OVER THE PLAINS ON SUNDAY AND STRONG WAA AT H850
WILL LEAD TO TEMPERATURES UPWARDS OF 10 TO 13 CELSIUS BY PEAK
HEATING. THIS WOULD EQUATE TO TEMPERATURES WARMING CONSIDERABLE
COMPARED TO SATURDAY, WITH HIGHS AROUND 25 TO 30 DEGREES WARMER IN
THE 60S. WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE LIGHTER ON SUNDAY ALONG WITH
CLEAR SKIES, SO A VERY NICE START TO FEBRUARY IS LOOKING LIKELY.
MUSCHA
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN
CONUS DURING THE NEXT WORK WEEK. THIS PATTERN WILL LEAD TO WARMER
THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH CURRENT
FORECAST HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S TO START FEBRUARY. THE FIRST
RIDGE SHOULD BREAK DOWN BY TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A POSITIVELY
TILTED H500 TROUGH DIGS SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS. THERE MAY BE JUST
ENOUGH MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION TO GENERATE SOME RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS ON TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT CHANCES IN THAT OCCURRING ARE ONLY
AROUND 15 TO 20 PERCENT AT THIS POINT. BEYOND THAT POTENTIAL, DRY
AND WARM CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY FOR THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.
MUSCHA
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 441 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
A LOW CLOUD DECK WITH PATCHY FREEZING MIST LIES ACROSS MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN PANHANDLES. THIS IS LEADING TO MVFR TO LIFR
CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS. THERE IS BREAKS WITHIN THIS DECK
THAT MAY ALLOW BOTH KGUY AND KAMA TO CLEAR OUT OF THE DECK DURING
THE MID MORNING HOURS. KDHT WILL MOST LIKELY STAY UNDER THIS
CLOUD DECK UNTIL THE LATE MORNING HOURS. AFTER THE DECK CLEARS
CONDITIONS RETURN TO VFR AND WILL REMAIN SO FOR THE REST OF THE
PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY AND GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
AT ALL TERMINALS BEFORE WEAKENING BY THE EVENING.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...98
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