959
FXUS64 KAMA 312322
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
522 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
-ROLLER COASTER TEMPERATURES ARE IN STORE FOR THE NEXT WEEK
STARTING OFF MILD, THEN COOLER MID-WEEK, BACK TO WARM TO CLOSE
OUT THE WEEK.
-VERY LOW CHANCE (<15%) MID WEEK THAT WE HAVE LIGHT WINTRY
PRECIPITATION.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 520 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
PESKY LOW CLOUDS REMAIN IN A THIN LINE ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS LINE STRETCHES FROM DEAF SMITH COUNTY, TO
CANYON/AMARILLO, AND UP TO HANSFORD COUNTY. THE CLOUD DECK IS
SLOWLY DECREASING IN COVERAGE, BUT JUST HOW MUCH LONGER IT MAY
LAST VARIES TREMENDOUSLY. LATER TONIGHT, MODEL GUIDANCE IS
TRENDING TOWARDS THE HIGHER POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SOME FOG TO
DEVELOP OR MOVE IN ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. WITH
TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING, FREEZING FOG COULD DEVELOP FOR AREAS
ALONG I-40 WEST OF AMARILLO DOWN TO HEREFORD. HAVE ADDED IN PATCHY
TO AREAS OF FREEZING FOG ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH SUNRISE ON
SUNDAY MORNING.
MUSCHA
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 119 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
LOW CLOUDS ON SATELLITE ARE LINGERING A BIT LONGER THAN
ANTICIPATED OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN PANHANDLES.
THIS IS KEEPING THE TEMPERATURES MUCH COOLER THAN FORECAST, WHERE
MOST OF THIS AREA MAY NOT GET OUT OF THE 30S TODAY. WITH SOUTHWEST
WINDS IN PLAY, AND WARMER AIR ATTEMPTING TO ERODE THAT COLDER AIR,
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE THAT LATE IN THE DAY IT CLEARS, AND WE GET
A QUICK TEMPERATURE SPIKE IN THE LOW 40S, BUT IT WILL BE SHORT
LIVED AS TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BACK DOWN IN THE LOW 20S TONIGHT.
ALSO, WITH THIS SOUTHWEST FLOW THE CHANCES OF GETTING FREEZING FOG
ANYWHERE TONIGHT IS VERY LOW <10%.
FOR SUNDAY, WE EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH TO HELP KEEP
THE TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S, AND DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST.
WEBER
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 119 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
MONDAY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN NORTHWEST FLOW WILL HELP
DRIVE A PUSH OF WARMER AIR FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE PANHANDLES.
THAT WILL REALLY HELP BOOST TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S FOR THE HIGH. AS THE SYSTEM EXITS MONDAY NIGHT A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH PULLING TEMPERATURES BACK A BIT ON
TUESDAY. BUT EVEN BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON WE'LL SEE ANOTHER
ATTEMPT AT WARMER AIR FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO MOVE INTO THE
PANHANDLES. HIGHS ON TUESDAY LOOK TO BE 50S TO MAYBE LOWER 60S.
TUESDAY NIGHT WE'LL GET A SECOND PUSH OF COLD AIR, AND THERE MAY
EVEN BE A LITTLE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED. THIS COULD LEAD TO SOME
LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION, BUT IT ALSO MAY BE WARM ENOUGH FOR
JUST LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW RETURNS FOR BOTH
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHS RETURNING BACK INTO THE 60S BOTH
DAYS, AND WE MAY EVEN GET TO THE LOW 70S AS WELL.
WEBER
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 520 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
LOW CLOUDS REMAIN OVER KAMA WITH MVFR CEILINGS STILL BEING
OBSERVED. THE LOW CLOUDS ARE SLOWLY DECREASING IN COVERAGE BUT MAY
REMAIN OVER THE TERMINAL FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. AT THIS TIME, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO RETURN TO ALL SITES AT SOME POINT THIS
EVENING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS TAF CYCLE. THERE IS A VERY LOW
CHANCE FOR FOG TO DEVELOP AS FAR EAST AS KAMA TONIGHT, BUT THE
POTENTIAL IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE TAF. WINDS OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST SHOULD BECOME NORTHWESTERLY BEFORE SHIFTING BACK OUT OF
THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL MAINLY BE AROUND
10-15 KTS OR LESS, BUT THERE COULD BE OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS LATE
IN THIS TAF PERIOD.
MUSCHA
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...89
LONG TERM....89
AVIATION...05
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page