788
FXUS64 KAMA 011710
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1110 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
- FREEZING FOG MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
THIS MORNING LEADING TO REDUCED VISIBILITY.
- TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE AVERAGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
WEEK FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
LOW CLOUDS REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL LOW CLOUDS/FOG HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND MAY MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN TX PANHANDLE
TONIGHT. FREEZING FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT, MAINLY FOR DEAF
SMITH COUNTY. THE FREEZING FOG MAY LEAD TO REDUCED VISIBILITY GOING
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. IF ANY FOG DOES DEVELOP, IT SHOULD DISSIPATE A
FEW HOURS BEYOND SUNRISE IF NOT SOONER.
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY SHOULD WARM CONSIDERABLY COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT MOVES EAST TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. H850 TEMPERATURES UPWARDS OF 10 TO 13 CELSIUS MAY BE IN
PLACE BY PEAK HEATING ON SUNDAY AND SURFACE HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 60S AREA WIDE. SOMEWHAT BREEZY WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST MAY
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON, BUT OVERALL, SUNDAY SHOULD BE QUITE A
THE NICE START TO FEBRUARY FOR THE PANHANDLES. SIMILAR CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST ON MONDAY BUT WITH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES HIGHER AS
THE RIDGE MOVES DIRECTLY OVERHEAD. A TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH OUT OF
ALBERTA AND THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL USHER IN A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT. BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN ITS WAKE
AND THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE HAS IT SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLES BY
MIDNIGHT. LOWS GOING INTO TUESDAY MORNING MAY DROP DOWN TO OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING.
MUSCHA
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD BE WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE CWA BY SUNRISE
ON TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BE AROUND 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN MONDAY DUE TO
THE SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. A POSITIVELY
TILTED TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DIG SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS ON TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL PROPEL ANOTHER COLD FRONT SOUTH
OVER THE PANHANDLES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DECREASING, BUT
THERE STILL REMAINS TO BE AROUND A 10-15 PERCENT CHANCE FOR SOME
WINTRY PRECIP ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER
AIR WILL COOL OFF HIGH TEMPERATURES A FEW MORE DEGREES ON WEDNESDAY
WITH HIGHS NEAR AVERAGE FOR EARLY FEBRUARY.
THE TROUGH THAT BROUGHT THE SECONDARY PUSH OF COOLER AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO DIG SOUTH TOWARDS THE GULF OF AMERICA AS A STRONG RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. THE RIDGING
PATTERN IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK. HIGHS ABOVE
AVERAGE AND QUIET WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED GIVEN THIS PATTERN. THERE
ARE HINTS AT THE RIDGE POTENTIALLY BREAKING DOWN NEXT WEEKEND, BUT
JUST HOW AND HOW QUICKLY THAT MAY OCCUR VARIES IN THE GUIDANCE AT
THIS TIME.
MUSCHA
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1109 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10-15KTS. MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES TO FEW HIGHS CLOUDS EXPECTED.
WEBER
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...89
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