229
FXUS64 KAMA 042311
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
511 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 949 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
- BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT TODAY WITH SOME WIND
GUSTS APPROACHING 30-35 MPH. 10% CHANCE OR LESS FOR GUSTS 40-45
MPH.
- THURSDAY THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND, TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR EARLY FEBRUARY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
SURFACE WINDS WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 10 MPH BY SUNSET WHILE
SLOWLY VEER TO THE WEST BY MIDNIGHT IN RESPONSE TO SURFACE
TROUGHING TO THE NORTH. WIND SPEEDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE SHORTLY
BEFORE SUNRISE THROUGH LATE THURSDAY MORNING TO AROUND 15 MPH OUT OF
THE NORTH AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. THIS FRONT WILL
BE MORE OF A WIND SHIFT THAN AN ACTUAL FRONT AS CAA WILL BE
VIRTUALLY NON-EXISTENT. WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BY
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTICEABLY WARMER THURSDAY, 10-
15 DEGREES OVER TODAY'S HIGHS. MORNING LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 20S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
MOSTLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS UPPER
RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE GREAT PLAINS. MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING AN
UPPER CLOSED ACROSS BAJA LATE SATURDAY AND INTO NORTHERN MEXICO BY
SUNDAY. THE PATH OF THIS UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK FURTHER SOUTH
AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE FA AND TRANSITIONS TO AN OPEN WAVE AS IT
MOVES ACROSS TEXAS EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE CURRENT PATH WOULD SUGGEST
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS THOUGH A ROUGE SHOWER OR TWO MAY BE POSSIBLE.
PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES MONDAY
AND TUESDAY, AND THAT WILL LIKELY DRY OUT AS WELL AS WE GET APPROACH
THE WEEKEND. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL AVERAGE IN THE UPPER 60S/70S EACH
DAY WITH MORNING LOWS AVERAGING IN THE MID 30S/40S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 510 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS MAY
BE LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTH BEFORE GRADUALLY BECOMING WEST THEN
SOUTHWEST. BY 18Z WHEN THE WINDS BECOME SOUTHWEST THEY MAY NO
LONGER BE LESS THAN 10 KTS BUT CLOSER TO 15 KTS.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...36
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