719
FXUS64 KAMA 051114
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
514 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 930 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
- TODAY THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND, TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR EARLY FEBRUARY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 510 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
FORECAST FOR TODAY REMAINS LARGELY ON TRACK. IT WILL BE A WARM
AFTERNOON WITH BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
ARE FORECAST TO BE THE LOWEST ACROSS THE SOUTH AND WITH THE BREEZY
WINDS, SPOTTY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY ARISE THIS
AFTERNOON. ONLY MINOR CHANGES (MAINLY TO THE WINDS) WERE MADE TO
THE FORECAST THROUGH THIS EVENING.
MUSCHA
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 930 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
FOR TODAY, THURSDAY, WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH AFTERNOON
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. A SURFACE BOUNDARY, RESEMBLING A COLD
FRONT, IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE COMBINED PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AROUND 15 MPH BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY.
THE KEY DIFFERENCE FROM A TRUE COLD FRONT WILL BE WARMING H85. HENCE
THE WARM AFTERNOON HIGHS. WITH THESE H85 TEMPERATURES AROUND 12
DEGREES C WILL HELP KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS RELATIVELY WARM AS WELL.
ALTHOUGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIE OFF A BIT IN THE EVENING THEY MAY
STILL PICK UP OR KEEP UP TO AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT, ALLOWING
FOR SOME MIXING TO OCCUR. MUCH OF THE COMBINED PANHANDLES WITH THE
EXCEPTION THE NORTHWEST SHOULD STAY WELL ABOVE FREEZING GOING INTO
FRIDAY MORNING.
GOING INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON, UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING, H85 TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM. H85 TEMPERATURES
ARE PROGGED TO WARM CLOSER TO 15 TO 16 DEGREES C ALLOWING FOR
SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. WITH
THE HIGHER TEMPERATURES RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER IN THE
TEENS ACROSS THE AREA. THANKFULLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
RELATIVELY LIGHT AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS, CHANGING FROM THE WEST TO
SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY. AGAIN, FRIDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES SHOULD STAY
WELL INTO THE 30S DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO SATURDAY
MORNING.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 930 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
ABOUT TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE. THE
ONE CAVEAT WILL BE A POTENTIAL CLOSED LOW ASSOCIATED WITH SPLIT FLOW
ALOFT IS PROGGED TO SKIRT TO THE SOUTH OF THE COMBINED PANHANDLES.
DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THIS LOW WILL DETERMINE IF SOME SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERN TX PANHANDLE
MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY FOLLOW BRINGING
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES FOR WED BACK INTO THE 50S/60S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 510 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
BECOME NORTHERLY WITH GUSTS UPWARDS OF 25 TO POTENTIALLY 30 KTS,
WITH THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS AT KGUY. WINDS SHOULD
DECREASE AFTER SUNSET AND BECOME WESTERLY AROUND OR UNDER 10 KTS.
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES SHOULD PREVAIL OVER THE TERMINALS.
MUSCHA
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...36
LONG TERM....36
AVIATION...05
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