082
FXUS64 KAMA 051947
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
247 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 152 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2026
SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY
AND TOMORROW FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE. RAIN TOTALS SHOULD STAY FAIRLY LIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.
SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND
NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE THURSDAY MORNING. A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 152 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2026
HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO RISE ABOVE 70 DEGREES FOR MANY AREAS TODAY
DUE TO THE FRONT MOVING FURTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUS MODELS HAD
SUGGESTED. POPS WILL STILL REMAIN LARGELY NORTHERN FOCUSED FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER, SOME CAMS ATTEMPT TO PUT AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR TWO INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW EVENING. QPF WILL STILL BE LIGHT OVERALL FOR THE RAIN
EVENT. THE BEST CHANCES FOR ACCUMULATION OVER 0.25" IS STILL IN
THE WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN COOL OVERALL HEADING INTO WEDNESDAY. LOWS IN
THE MORNING WILL APPROACH FREEZING IN THE NORTH, WHILE STAYING
AROUND 40 DEGREES FOR THE REST OF THE AREA. HIGHS MAY NOT ESCAPE
THE 40S FOR OUR NORTHERN ZONES, WHILE 50S AND 60S REMAIN IN PLAY
FOR THE REST OF THE AREA. SOME 70S CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR THE FAR
SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHERE CLOUD COVERAGE WILL ERODE QUICKER
THERE COMPARED TO THE REST OF THE CWA. IN THE FAR NORTHWESTERN
COMBINED PANHANDLES, MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURE PROFILES ARE
SUPPORTIVE OF SNOW DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER,
SURFACE AND SOIL TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN TOO WARM FOR
ACCUMULATION TO OCCUR; THEREFORE, NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.
RANGEL
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2026
SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE STILL FORECAST FOR THE OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE THURSDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES AS LOW AS 25 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED IN PARTS OF
CIMARRON AND DALLAM COUNTY. TEMPERATURES WILL UNDERGO A QUICK
RECOVERY AND CONTINUE TO WARM UP THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. BY
SUNDAY OUR NEXT COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE AND PLACE HIGHS BACK IN THE
70S AND 80S. NEXT WEEK, THE UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO REDEVELOP
OVER THE REGION. LONG RANGE MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
UNUSUALLY WARM TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
RANGEL
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2026
MVFR CEILINGS CONTINUE AT KAMA AND KDHT AT THE START OF THIS 18Z
TAF PERIOD. IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS, CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AT
THESE SITES; HOWEVER, MVFR CEILINGS WILL RETURN TO KGUY. SOME
SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO AFFECT KDHT AND KGUY LATER THIS EVENING,
BUT CONDITIONS WILL ALREADY BE MVFR AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO WORSEN
DUE TO SHOWER ACTIVITY. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AT KAMA TONIGHT AS
WELL, BUT TO A MUCH LESSER EXTENT. CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL
AT ALL SITES TOMORROW MORNING. MVFR, AND EVEN IFR CONDITIONS FOR
KGUY, ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER TILL THE END OF THE CURRENT TAF
PERIOD.
SURFACE WINDS WILL STAY BREEZY FROM THE EAST AND NORTHEAST TODAY,
BUT THEY WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME LIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERLY BY
TOMORROW.
RANGEL
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
FOR TXZ001>004-006.
OK...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
FOR OKZ001>003.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page