525
FXUS64 KAMA 281733
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1233 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1228 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
-ABOUT A 10% CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM IN THE FAR WESTERN
COMBINED PANHANDLES.
-POTENTIAL FOR SOME AREAS, INCLUDING PDC TO REACH 105 DEGREES
ALMOST DAILY STARTING THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1228 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
ANY LEFTOVER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS MORNING MAINLY FOR
THE CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE HAVE DISSIPATED BETWEEN 16-17Z. IN
ITS WAKE, MANY LOCATIONS IN THE CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE HAVE RECEIVED
SEVERAL TENTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN WITH SOME AREAS IN CARSON AND
RANDALL COUNTIES SEEING OVER AN INCH OF RAIN SINCE MIDNIGHT.
OVERALL RAIN CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT LOOK TO BE
QUITE ANEMIC. PERHAPS AROUND A 10% CHANCE FOR THE FAR WESTERN
PANHANDLES ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MAIN H500 HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM IF ANY ELEVATION CONVECTION IN NM CAN REACH THE STATELINE
WITH TX AND OK. LATEST HI-RES MODEL GUIDANCE TRIES TO ELONGATED
MAIN H500 HIGH BY THIS EVENING, STRETCHING MORE WEST TO EAST. THIS
WILL DICTATE THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AS A
RESULT, OVERALL PRECIPITATION CHANCES (MAXING OUT AROUND 10%)
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THIS WEEKEND WILL BE CONFINED TO THE FAR
W/NW PANHANDLES. OTHERWISE, SUBSIDENCE UNDER THE MAIN ANTI-
CYCLONIC FEATURE WILL KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE PANHANDLES DRY
THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL BRING THE
TRIPLE DIGIT HIGHS BACK TO THE PANHANDLES. VALUES WILL RANGE FROM
100-106, WHERE PDC COULD SEE HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA TO START THE
WEEKEND.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1228 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE LONG TERM
FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR LATE AUGUST
INTO EARLY SEPTEMBER IS EXPECTED, WITH SOME AREAS THAT COULD SEE
HEAT RELATED HEADLINES, ESPECIALLY AT PDC. THE FAR NW PANHANDLES
WOULD BE THE AREAS TO WATCH FOR MONSOON PATTERN RAIN CHANCES GOING
INTO NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 18Z TAF PERIOD AT ALL
TAF SITES. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST AT 5-15
KTS, INCREASING TO 10-20 KTS PAST 12Z TO THE END OF THE TAF
PERIOD WITH HIGHER GUSTS AT TIMES.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29
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