077
FXUS64 KAMA 020339
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1039 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
- A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS (~20 PERCENT) FOR VARIOUS
PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
- HEAT IMPACTS MAY RETURN STARTING THURSDAY AND CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR PDC WHERE TEMPERATURES COULD REACH
105 DEGREES.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
THE MAIN BROAD H500 HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THROUGH MID WEEK WILL DICTATE OUR
WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. EARLIER TODAY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OFF THE NM HIGH TERRAIN AND PROGRESSING
EAST AS A LINE INTO THE WESTERN PANHANDLES SHOULD BE SIMILAR SET
UP ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN AXIS OF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THE H500 HIGH COULD BE FURTHER DISPLACED AS THE MAIN
ANTI-CYCLONIC FEATURE SHIFTS EAST. THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME
SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE PANHANDLES FOR MID WEEK. NOT
A HIGH CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION AS LARGE SCALE UL SUBSIDENCE
SHOULD TAKE PLACE, BUT IF WE REACH CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE, ALONG
WITH ANY SUBTLE LIFT, RAIN CHANCES COULD DEVELOP, FAVORING THE
WESTERN PANHANDLES. SIMILAR SETUP EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY SHOULD RANGE FROM THE MID
90S IN THE NW PANHANDLES TO 100-104 DEGREES FOR PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN COMBINED PANHANDLES. WILL WATCH CLOSELY FOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAT HEADLINES FOR PDC, ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY
WHERE TEMPS COULD REACH 105.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
RINSE AND REPEAT FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD. DEPENDING ON
WHERE THE MAIN MOISTURE TRANSPORT AXIS SETS UP, COUPLED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING, THE WESTERN P_ANHANDLES WILL BE FAVORED FOR THE POTENTIAL
FOR DAILY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WHERE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS FROM STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH EARLY SEPTEMBER.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE 00Z TAF PERIOD AT ALL
TAF SITES. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST 5-15 KTS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY DURING DAYLIGHT HOURS.
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29
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