589
FXUS64 KAMA 021038
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
538 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
- A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS (~20 PERCENT) FOR VARIOUS
PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
- HEAT IMPACTS MAY RETURN STARTING THURSDAY AND CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR PDC WHERE TEMPERATURES COULD REACH
105 DEGREES.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
THE MAIN BROAD H500 HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THROUGH MID WEEK WILL DICTATE OUR
WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. EARLIER TODAY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OFF THE NM HIGH TERRAIN AND PROGRESSING
EAST AS A LINE INTO THE WESTERN PANHANDLES SHOULD BE SIMILAR SET
UP ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN AXIS OF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ON THE
PERIPHERY OF THE H500 HIGH COULD BE FURTHER DISPLACED AS THE MAIN
ANTI-CYCLONIC FEATURE SHIFTS EAST. THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME
SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE PANHANDLES FOR MID WEEK. NOT
A HIGH CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION AS LARGE SCALE UL SUBSIDENCE
SHOULD TAKE PLACE, BUT IF WE REACH CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE, ALONG
WITH ANY SUBTLE LIFT, RAIN CHANCES COULD DEVELOP, FAVORING THE
WESTERN PANHANDLES. SIMILAR SETUP EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY SHOULD RANGE FROM THE MID
90S IN THE NW PANHANDLES TO 100-104 DEGREES FOR PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN COMBINED PANHANDLES. WILL WATCH CLOSELY FOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAT HEADLINES FOR PDC, ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY
WHERE TEMPS COULD REACH 105.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
RINSE AND REPEAT FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD. DEPENDING ON
WHERE THE MAIN MOISTURE TRANSPORT AXIS SETS UP, COUPLED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING, THE WESTERN P_ANHANDLES WILL BE FAVORED FOR THE POTENTIAL
FOR DAILY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WHERE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS FROM STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH EARLY SEPTEMBER.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 509 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE PANHANDLES
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE WITH RAIN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS CAN PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN THAT CAN CAUSE MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS. THE STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. THE STORMS ARE FORECASTED TO FORM IN THE
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES IN A SW TO NE CORRIDOR. THE
CHANCE OF THESE IMPACTING ANY TERMINAL ARE VERY LOW. THE CHANCES
OF THESE STORMS IMPACTING ANY TERMINAL ARE TO LOW TO BE REFLECTED
IN ANY OF THE CURRENT TAFS. OUTSIDE OF THE STORMS THE AMBIENT
WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY AND GUSTY TODAY.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...98
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