242
FXUS64 KAMA 151953
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
253 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
- WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH GUSTS
UP TO 50 MPH IN THE NORTHWESTERN PANHANDLES.
- LOW TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT ARE FORECAST TO DIP BELOW FREEZING
FOR MANY PORTIONS OF THE COMBINED PANHANDLES. A FREEZE WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED TO ACCOUNT FOR COUNTIES MOST LIKELY TO MEET OR FALL
BELOW 32 DEGREES.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL, CUTOFF LOW IN COLORADO CONTINUES ITS PROGRESSION
EASTWARD AS IT BECOMES INGESTED IN THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.
WINDS AT THE SURFACE HAVE FLIPPED FROM THE NORTH AND STRONG,
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS UNTIL
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN SATURDAY MORNING.
TODAY, THE LAST OF THE PRECIPITATION FROM OUR RAIN EVENT IS MOVING
THROUGH COLLINGSWORTH COUNTY AND WILL EVENTUALLY TRANSITION FULLY
INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THOUGH ADDITIONAL RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THOSE
AREAS THIS MORNING, NO FLOOD PRODUCTS ARE ANTICIPATED DUE TO RAIN
RATES BEING TOO STEADY FOR ANY FURTHER IMPACTS. SURFACE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER TODAY THAN FRIDAY. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
LIKELY IN THE NORTHWEST COMBINED PANHANDLES, WHILE GUSTS BETWEEN 35-
45 MPH ARE MORE LIKELY FOR THE REST OF THE PANHANDLES. TEMPERATURES
TODAY SHOULD ONLY REACH THE 60S, BUT A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE
SOUTHEAST TX PANHANDLE MAY REACH 70 DEGREES.
TOMORROW, STRONG WINDS CONTINUE WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. AS
COLD AIR BECOMES REINFORCED ACROSS THE AREA, MORNING LOWS WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. A FEW LOCATIONS IN CIMARRON AND
DALLAM COUNTY EVEN HAVE A LOW CHANCE TO REACH 32 DEGREES BY FRIDAY
MORNING. BY THE AFTERNOON, TEMPERATURES SHOULD CAP OUT IN THE 50S
WHILE SKY COVERAGE REMAINS PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. WITH
TEMPERATURES ON THE DOWNTREND AND WIND SPEEDS STAYING HIGH IN THE
MORNING, A WIND CHILL WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THE CWA. FRIDAY MORNING
APPARENT TEMPERATURES MAY FEEL AS COLD AS THE MID 20S IN THE NORTH,
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL FEEL AS COLD AS THE 30S FOR THE REST OF THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE.
RANGEL
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY MORNING. A FREEZE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUES FOR AREAS THAT
HAVE AT LEAST A 50% CHANCES FOR TEMPERATURES 32 DEGREES OR BELOW.
TEMPERATURES MAY BE AS LOW AS THE MID 20S IN THE OK PANHANDLE AND
NORTHERN TX PANHANDLE. WINDS WILL BECOME MUCH LIGHTER ON SATURDAY
WITH THE ARRIVAL OF OUR UPPER LEVEL HIGH.
HIGHS SATURDAY ONWARD WILL STEADILY INCREASE AND WE APPROACH THE
NEW WEEK. 80 DEGREE TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO RETURN
BY THE MIDWEEK. LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE THE COLDEST ON SATURDAY
AS WELL, AND LOWS WILL EVENTUALLY RECOVER BACK INTO THE 50S NEXT
WEEK. WE ARE WATCHING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A NEW UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
THAT COULD IMPACT US BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NEXT WEEK. POPS
RETURN FOR THAT TIME FRAME, BUT CHANGES ARE STILL EXPECTED AS MORE
DETAILS ABOUT THE INCOMING SYSTEM ARE REALIZED.
RANGEL
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
CEILINGS ARE CLEARING OUT AT ALL SITES AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL
EVENTUALLY SETTLE IN LATER THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG WINDS CONTINUE
AT ALL SITES AS WELL, WITH GUSTS POTENTIALLY REACHING UP TO 45
KTS. LATER TONIGHT, VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL AT ALL SITES;
HOWEVER, THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED BY LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR.
SURFACE WINDS WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS A RESULT, BUT WIND SPEEDS
WILL KICK UP AGAIN ONCE THE SUN RISES FRIDAY MORNING.
RANGEL
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ001-006.
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
TXZ001>014-016>018-317.
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ001.
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
OKZ001>003.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page