431
FXUS64 KAMA 181133
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
633 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
- MOSTLY DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, WITH RAIN CHANCES POTENTIALLY RETURNING THURSDAY
NIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
EXPECT AFTERNOON HIGHS A LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND
WARMING TO NEAR AVERAGE FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE WARMING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE THANKS TO A SURFACE TROUGH BRINGING SOME BREEZY
SOUTH TO SOUTH WINDS ALONG WITH WARMING H85 TEMPERATURES. POSITIVE H7
THETA-E ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO RETURN TODAY AS WELL, AT LEAST
ENOUGH TO POTENTIALLY BRING SOME LIGHT CUMULUS CLOUDS TO THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON.
TOMORROW, TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS
EXPECTED AROUND AVERAGE, NEAR 70 FOR AMARILLO. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE MORE SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY BUT NOT BE QUITE AS BREEZY AS
TODAY. BUT COULD STILL SEE SOME 15 TO 20 MPH WINDS IN THE EASTERN
COMBINED PANHANDLES. MONDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES SHOULD NOT FALL AS
MUCH AS TONIGHT EITHER. FOR TONIGHT, EXPECT TEMPERATURES DROPPING
INTO THE 40S, WHERE AS MONDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES SHOULD STAY IN THE
LOWER 50S FOR MOST OF THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
A SHORT-WAVED TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BRUSH THE AREA
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, NOT EXPECTING ANY IMPACTS OTHER
THAN DELAYING THE WARMING OF TEMPERATURES FURTHER, UNTIL WED WHEN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BUILD AND BRING TEMPERATURES TO
THE UPPER 70S AND POTENTIALLY SOME LOWER 80S WED INTO THU. WITH THIS
SHORTWAVE, POPS REMAIN LESS THAN 10 AT THE MOMENT, BUT WOULD NOT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY MORNING THROUGH THE
DAY. THE NEXT POTENTIAL SYSTEM TO BRING TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN ALONG
WITH DECENT RAIN CHANCES IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES MAY NOT COOL QUITE AS MUCH,
DEPENDING ON HOW THE NEXT TROUGH COMES ACROSS AND HOW MUCH RAIN
COMES WITH IT AS WELL. FOR NOW, THE NBM IS GIVING TEMPERATURES FOR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY VERY SIMILAR TO THURSDAY, BUT THIS MAY CHANGE
AND TEMPERATURES MAY COME IT A FEW DEGREES COOLER.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 627 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
EARLY MORNING IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS THE AREA. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND ONCE AGAIN
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE BREEZY
THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 25-28KT EXPECTED FROM THE SOUTH.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...03
LONG TERM....03
AVIATION...KP
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