197  
FNUS73 KARX 291534  
FWSARX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COW BRANCH BURN...IOWA DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI  
1034 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (608) 784-8292 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE LATEST OBSERVATION OUT OF MANCHESTER, IOWA AT 10:10 AM HAS A  
TEMPERATURE OF 47 DEGREES, A RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 75 PERCENT, AND  
WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH/NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH.  
CLOUDS OVERHEAD WILL SCATTER OUT BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON WITH SUNNY  
SKIES EXPECTED AFTERWARDS. RHS WILL FALL THIS AFTERNOON TO BETWEEN  
45-50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 10-20 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO  
TAPER OFF THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, BECOMING MORE NORTHERLY LATE IN  
THE DAY. DECENT TRANSPORT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR EXCELLENT SMOKE  
DISPERSAL WITH GOOD MIXING HEIGHTS TO AROUND 3000-3500 FT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.  
RH..................71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 16  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3600 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /61800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.  
MAX...EXCELLENT /61800 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........85 75 50 31 12 12 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 53 55 57 58 59 60  
RH..............71 64 61 57 53 49 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 15 12 12 11 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 20 19 16 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 22 21 18 17 17 16  
SDSPL KT-FT/100062 58 59 55 52 54 49  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.  
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9 TO 10  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........4 11 16 24 35 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 54 48 44 42 40  
RH..............45 52 65 73 79 82  
20 FT WIND......N 6 N 4 N 2 NE 2 E 2 E 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 8 6 5 6 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 400 400 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 N 6 NE 7 E 6 E 9 E 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/100039 2 3 2 2 3  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.  
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (49500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........38 36 42 61 64 50 62 73 76 80 83 85  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 20 20 20 20 20 20 50 50 50 50 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0  
TEMP............38 40 44 47 53 55 58 60 60 61 61 60  
RH..............89 85 82 76 66 64 60 55 55 56 56 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 14 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 18 17 18 18 18 18 17 17 17  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 3 8 20 30 40 45 50 48 43 42 33  
 
 
FORECASTER...KB  
REQUESTED BY...JOE FRIEDEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2512178.0/ARX  
.DELDT 04/29/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOE.FRIEDEN@DNR.IOWA.GOV  
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