907
FXUS63 KARX 102340
AFDARX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
540 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY.
- LOOKING DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM FOR THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1259 AM CST TUE FEB 10 2026
THURSDAY
THE 10.12Z MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A 500 MB RIDGE
LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. LIKE THE PAST
COUPLE OF THE DAYS, THE BETTER CHANCES OF RAIN AND SNOW (20 TO
30 PERCENT PROBABILITIES OF AT LEAST 0.01 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION) REMAINS WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND IN
SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. IN ADDITION WITH WEAKER FORCING AND
MOISTURE TRANSPORT, THE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS CONTINUE TO
DECREASE. THERE IS UP A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF 0.05 INCHES AND UP
TO A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF 0.10 INCHES.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 30S NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND
IN THE LOWER AND MID-40S ELSEWHERE.
THIS WEEKEND
THE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL CONTINUE TO DIG DEEPER AND
DEEPER FOR THIS WEEKEND. AS A RESULT, THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS CLOSER TO THE GULF OF AMERICA. WITH THIS TRACK MOVING
SOUTH, THE WEEKEND IS LOOKING DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE 40S NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND NEAR 50 ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID-20S TO
MID-30S.
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THAT THE WESTERN TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY
MOVE EAST TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL OPEN THE
POSSIBILITY FOR A STRONG COLORADO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO EJECT
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. JUST SOMETHING TO WATCH OVER THE NEXT
COMING DAYS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 40S NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND
IN THE LOWER AND MID-50S ELSEWHERE. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID-20S TO MID-30S.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 537 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2026
ONGOING MVFR STRATOCUMULUS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 4 HOURS LEADING TO VFR
CONDITIONS AND CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD. HAVE GONE WITH A SCT GROUP AT RST/LSE BUT AN MVFR
CEILING MAY BRIEFLY RETURN THRU 02Z TO LSE. OTHERWISE, WINDS OUT
OF THE NORTHWEST WILL BE PREDOMINANT WITH SPEEDS REDUCING TO
AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS.
ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BOYNE
AVIATION...FERGUSON
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