912
FNUS73 KARX 011020
FWSARX
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLER CREEK AMA RX BURN...MINNESOTA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
520 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (608) 784-8292 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS AND, WHEN THE SUN IS SHINING, A VERY
LIGHT BREEZE OUT OF THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
SHOULD LEAD TO RH VALUES DOWN TO AROUND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
WIND DIRECTION MAY BE VARIABLE AT IGNITION TIME BUT SHOULD BECOME
CONSISTENTLY OUT OF THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BY 9AM. SMOKE DISPERSION
WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH EXCELLENT SMOKE
DISPERSION EXPECTED BY MIDDAY. A BIT OF LIGHT RAIN AND/OR
SPRINKLES MAY (20%) OCCUR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BUT AMOUNTS WILL BE
MINIMAL, IF ANY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SPRINKLES EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........33 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH
5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1800 FT AGL
INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO
13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /1400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...EXCELLENT /83800 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........67 52 39 34 37 45 47 49 46 50 50
WEATHER COV.....ARS CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FST RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............33 37 39 44 46 47 48 50 51 52 52
RH..............78 67 62 50 44 42 38 35 33 32 31
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 8 11 12 13 13 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.8 4.3 5.4 6.4 6.9 7.2 7.6 7.6 7.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 9 12 12 12 12 13 13 13
SDSPL KT-FT/10001 3 7 35 54 64 69 72 83 84 81
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (72400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........51 42 35 30 24 17 16 15 17 14 17 14
WEATHER COV..... ARS
WEATHER TYPE.... FST
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 52 49 45 44 42 40 38 38 36 36 35
RH..............31 33 38 47 49 54 56 61 61 65 65 70
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 9 7 8 7 6 8 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.6 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NW W SW W SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 9 5 5 6 3 3 5 6 7 6 7
SDSPL KT-FT/100072 14 3 3 4 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY
IN THE MORNING, THEN AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 4600 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (95800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11 9 6 5 7 9 15 21 24 27 32 37
WEATHER COV.....WID ARS
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............34 35 39 43 50 53 54 57 59 59 60 61
RH..............73 71 61 55 44 39 37 35 32 31 30 32
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 4 5 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 8 9 14 12 13 14 13 14 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.2 5.8 6.4 6.5 6.8 6.8 6.7 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 9 12 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 13
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 3 8 24 55 76 83 92 96 95 94 51
FORECASTER...AF
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN BEYERL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612351.0/ARX
.DELDT 05/01/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.BEYERL@STATE.MN.US
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