733
FXUS63 KARX 162322
AFDARX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
622 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- FREEZE WARNING LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
- MAINLY DRY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH SLOWLY RISING
TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1158 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE, CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS, WILL BUILD QUICKLY EAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. AS
THIS OCCURS, THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SLACKEN. THE
COMBINATION OF LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL RESULT IS STRONG
RADIATIVE COOLING. AS TYPICAL WITH THE NBM, IT LOOKED TOO WARM
IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN SO BLENDED IN SOME MOS. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE THE MID-20S TO LOWER 30S. THERE MAY BE EVEN A FEW
LOCATIONS IN THE LOWER 20S IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN.
WEEKEND
THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE GREAT
LAKES AND INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC THIS WEEKEND. AS THIS OCCURS,
THE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE INTO THE 10 TO 20
MPH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE MID- AND UPPER 50S ON
SATURDAY AND INTO THE LOWER AND MID-60S ON SUNDAY.
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
A 500 MB RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION EARLY IN THE WEEK
AND IT WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY IN THE
60S THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND AROUND 70S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S AND 40S THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND 40S AND
50S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 621 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE WIND
WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AND SHOULD DROP DOWN TO AROUND 5 KTS
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE WIND WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE
AFTER SUNRISE WITH GUSTS UPWARDS OF 20-25 KTS TOWARDS THE END OF
THIS TAF CYCLE. CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION.
ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061.
MN...FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR MNZ079-
086>088-094>096.
IA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR IAZ008>011-
018-019-029-030.
DISCUSSION...BOYNE
AVIATION...MUSCHA
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