848
FXUS61 KBGM 092305
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
705 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO PUSH
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL TONIGHT. AREAS OF FROST WILL BE
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN OUR NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM UP THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
A PERSISTENCE TYPE OF FORECAST CONTINUES GIVEN LITTLE OVERALL
CHANGE IN THE PATTERN. BOUNDAREY-LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE
SLIGHTLY WARMER TONIGHT WHICH COULD KEEP VALUES HIGH ENOUGH FOR
ANY FROST. NO REASON TO THINK GIVEN A SIMILAR SETUP TO THE PAST
FEW NIGHTS. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK OFF THE EAST COAST WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE OVERALL TRACK REMAINS RATHER STEADY
WITH MODEL AND ENSEMBLE DATA BEING CLOSE ENOUGH TO INCREASE
CLOUDS BUT KEEP SHOWERS EAST OF OUR REGION. ANOTHER SEASONABLY
WARM DAY INTO THE 70'S WEDNESDAY WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS TRENDING A
LITTLE WARMER EACH NIGHT.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. PERSISTENCE
THINKING OF CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS AND SOME PATCHY NIGHTTIME
VALLEY FOG CONTINUES. TEMPERATURES LOOK FAIRLY SEASONABLE FROM
THE 50'S FOR LOWS TO HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70'S.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
ONE MORE DAY OF SUNNY HIGH PRESSURE SATURDAY THAT IS FOLLOWED BY
A POTENTIAL WEAK COLD FRONT OR LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. BASICALLY STAYED WITH THE NBM
WITH LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS GIVEN THE UNCERTAINITY WITH THESE
FEATURES. NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS DAYS WITH THE
TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS TAF PERIOD, THOUGH FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT ELM WITH RESTRICTIONS FALLING TO IFR/LIFR. FOG
SHOULD CLEAR UP BY AROUND 14Z. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TONIGHT AND REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL GENERALLY BE CLEAR WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
MOVING IN. A COASTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING MIDLEVEL CLOUDS TO AVP BY
MIDDAY WEDNESDAY BUT RAIN SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE REGION.
OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR. VALLEY FOG EACH
LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING AT KELM WILL LIKELY BRING RESTRICTIONS.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...MWG
NEAR TERM...MWG
SHORT TERM...MWG
LONG TERM...MWG
AVIATION...BTL/BJT
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