126
FXUS61 KBGM 100542
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
142 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2025
SYNOPSIS
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, DRY WEATHER, AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE
CONTROLS THE WEATHER PATTERN.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
PRETTY MUCH A RINSE AND REPEAT FORECAST GIVEN THE PERSISTENT
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION. TEMPS TONIGHT WILL BE WARMER THAN
LAST NIGHT WITH THE SLIGHTLY WARMER SURFACE TEMPS TODAY. LOW TO
MID 40S ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION, WITH UPPER 40S
IN THE NORTHERN FINGER LAKES AND WYOMING VALLEY. VALLEY FOG WILL
ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE TWIN TIERS AND INTO THE CATSKILLS
INTO THE MID-MORNING HOURS.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK UP THE EAST COAST
TODAY, PUSHING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS INTO THE CATSKILLS AND NEPA
LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. CAMS SHOW A
FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS WORKING THEIR WAY INTO THE FAR SOUTHERN
CATSKILLS AND POCONOS THIS MORNING, BUT HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
REGION SHOULD KEEP MOST OF THE AREA DRY. TEMPS TODAY WILL CLIMB
INTO THE 70S, WITH VALLEYS IN THE UPPER 70S.
A STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FROM THE SW AS A
SURFACE HIGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WED NIGHT WILL
ALLOW RADIATIONAL COOLING TO DROP TEMPS DOWN INTO THE MID 40S,
WITH LOW 40S IN OUR NORMALLY COOLER VALLEYS AND PATCHY VALLEY
FOG. HIGHS THURS WILL CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
STRONG RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAIN INTO SATURDAY
WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON, THE RIDGE MAY BREAK DOWN ENOUGH TO ALLOW A
SHORTWAVE TO PROPAGATE ACROSS THE AREA FROM NW TO SE BRINGING A
CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
THE LONG TERM FORECAST IS A LITTLE MUDDLED WITH GUIDANCE
SHOWING SEVERAL POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS. ONE HAS A LOW DIVING IN FROM
THE NORTH ON SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY A STRONG RIDGE THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK, WHILE OTHER SHOW A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING UP THE
EAST COAST AND TURNING WESTWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUES, BRINGING
US RAIN FOR MOST OF THE DAY. NBM GUIDANCE WAS RELIED UPON GIVEN
THE LARGE VARIANCE IN SOLUTIONS, WITH SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
FROM THE LOW MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH ON SUN AND MON, THEN HIGH
AND DRY ON TUESDAY. SEASONABLE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS TAF PERIOD, THOUGH FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT ELM WITH RESTRICTIONS FALLING TO IFR/LIFR. FOG
SHOULD CLEAR UP BY AROUND 14Z. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TONIGHT AND REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL GENERALLY BE CLEAR WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS
MOVING IN. A COASTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING MIDLEVEL CLOUDS TO AVP BY
MIDDAY WEDNESDAY BUT RAIN SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE REGION.
OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR. VALLEY FOG EACH
LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING AT KELM WILL LIKELY BRING RESTRICTIONS.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...JTC
NEAR TERM...JTC
SHORT TERM...JTC
LONG TERM...JTC
AVIATION...BTL/BJT
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