278
FXUS61 KBGM 101739
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
139 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL INTO THIS WEEKEND, WITH
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY, FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN NEXT WEEK.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
PERSISTENCE FORECAST REMAINS THE BEST BET WITH EACH DAY LIKE THE
LAST. HIGH PRESSURE WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND CLEAR COOL
NIGHT AND VALLEY FOG CAN BE EXPECTED.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
STRONG RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS INTO SATURDAY
WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND
OVERNIGHT VALLEY FOG. AN UPPER TROUGH START SNEAKING INTO THE
AREA LATE SATURDAY AND THE RIDGE MAY BREAK DOWN ENOUGH TO ALLOW
FOR A FEW ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. FORECAST SOUNDING SHOW VERY
LITTLE INSTABILITY AND A FAIRLY STRONG CAP WITH THE SURFACE
RIDGE TO OVERHEAD, SO ELIMINATED THE CHANCE FOR ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT SATURDAY.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
FORECAST GUIDANCE REMAINS UNCERTAIN FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND. UPPER TROUGH WILL TRY TO PUSH OVER THE NE US ON SUNDAY,
HOWEVER, THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL BE HARD TO REMOVE. FOR NOW, KEPT
NBM POPS, BUT LIMITED THE CHANCES FOR THUNDER TO SLIGHT DUE TO
WHAT LOOKS LIKE WEAK INSTABILITY IN THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN TRY TO MAKE AN APPEARANCE AGAIN FOR THE START
OF NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS ARE EXPECTED EXCEPT ELM. EARLY
MORNING VALLEY FOR WILL IMPACT ELM AGAIN OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. VLIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE FOG, BUT ANY
FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY 0900.
OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY VFR. VALLEY FOG EACH
LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING AT KELM WILL LIKELY BRING
RESTRICTIONS. ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY ALSO BRING BRIEF RESTRICTIONS
ON SUNDAY.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...MPK
NEAR TERM...MPK
SHORT TERM...JTC/MPK
LONG TERM...JTC/MPK
AVIATION...MPK
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