251
FXUS61 KBGM 241036
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
636 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THERE WERE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS MOSTLY DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AS TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO TREND WARMER.
2) A BROAD LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE US
LATE IN THE WEEK. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND FALLING TEMPERATURES INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
OTHER THAN SOME SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EARLY THIS
MORNING, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL AND RESULT IN MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS THROUGH MIDWEEK. WESTERLY FLOW WILL HELP SCATTER OUT THE
SKIES TODAY, LEADING TO A PERIOD OF SUNSHINE OVER THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER AS HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 40S TODAY. AFTER
FALLING INTO THE 20S TONIGHT, TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO
THE 40S AND LOW 50S ON WEDNESDAY. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS MAY CLIP THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT SITS
OVER NORTHERN NY.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH THE NORTHEAST LATE
THURSDAY AND DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BE THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE 60S, PRECIPITATION WILL INITIALLY BE
RAIN. SOME MODELS ARE SHOWING A LITTLE INSTABILITY THIS FAR OUT, SO
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE LATER TIMING OF
THIS FRONT, SEVERE WEATHER WOULD NOT BE EXPECTED BUT IT IS SOMETHING
WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. AS COLD AIR FILLS IN
BEHIND THE FRONT, RAIN WILL BRIEFLY TRANSITION TO SNOW BEFORE
ENDING. LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN
THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS ACROSS CENTRAL NY. WINDS WILL PICK UP AS
THE FRONT APPROACHES AND STAY BREEZY AFTER THE FRONT HAS PASSED.
WITH A COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE, TEMPERATURES WILL THEN TREND COLDER
INTO THE START OF THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY DURING THE
DAY SATURDAY, SO IT WILL FEEL QUITE BLUSTERY AS MANY LOCATIONS WILL
STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE FREEZING. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL DROP SOUTH
TO SUPPORT LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE THEN RETURNS
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND TO BRING QUIETER AND WARMER
CONDITIONS INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP SKIES MAINLY CLEAR WITH VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE ENTIRE 12Z TAF PERIOD.
OUTLOOK:
TUESDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST WITH MAINLY
VFR CONDITIONS.
WEDNESDAY...COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE IN LATE FROM THE NORTH
WITH RAIN SHOWERS AS WELL AS POTENTIAL RESTRICTIONS.
THURSDAY...WARM FRONT PUSHES UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH RAIN
SHOWERS AND RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE. RAIN CHANGES OVER TO SNOW
OVERNIGHT.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION WITH
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BTL
AVIATION...KL
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