910
FNUS71 KBGM 161244
FWSBGM
SPOT FORECAST FOR CFA_PRESCRIBED FIRE...CATSKILL FOREST ASSOCIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
844 AM EDT THU APR 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS PASSING THROUGH THIS MORNING BEFORE 10 AM,
THEN A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS WITH LIKELY MORE SUNSHINE BY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TODAY. THE
PRESCRIBED BURN AREA DOES LOOK LIKE THERE COULD BE SOME SHELTERING
FROM THE WINDS, AS THE FIELD IS SURROUNDED BY FOREST. ALSO, BASED
ON THE PREDOMINANT WIND DIRECTION FROM THE SW, WITH THE BURN
BEING ON AN EAST ASPECT, THE WINDS SHOULD BE A LITTLE LIGHTER
BEING ON THE LEE SIDE OF HILL WITH HIGHER WINDS LIKELY A LITTLE
FURTHER UP THE HILL NEAR FOX MEADOW LANE.
LATER TODAY, MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL START POPPING UP
ACROSS THE REGION. AT THIS TIME, IT DOES APPEAR THAT THE BEST
CHANCES NEAR HALCOTTSVILLE WILL NOT BE UNTIL THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 5 TO 8
MPH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH POSSIBLE. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AFTER 1700 EDT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 22 MPH.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................45 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 127 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........54 42 42 49 56 58 46 48
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
TEMP............69 73 75 77 79 80 80 80
RH..............70 64 60 54 50 47 47 47
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 6 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 12 13 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.1 4.1 5.0 5.7 5.9 5.6 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.W WSW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 16 18 21 22 22 21
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............45 55 66 78 91 111 127 127
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN
THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................93 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 0 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........55 58 61 61 67 77 72 79 70 70 71 83
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............79 76 74 69 67 65 64 63 61 60 59 59
RH..............49 54 57 66 70 75 78 81 87 87 90 90
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 2.3 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 16 14 14 15 15 14 14 13 13 13 14
LVORI...........1 1 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 5
ADI.............93 45 6 0 0 7 6 6 6 3 2 6
FORECASTER...KISTNER (IMET)
REQUESTED BY...RYAN TRAPANI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610420.0/BGM
.DELDT 04/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RYAN@CATSKILLFOREST.ORG
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page