661
FXUS61 KBGM 232338
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
738 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH HIGH
PRESSURE IN CONTROL.
2) A PASSING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS SATURDAY,
PERHAPS MIXING WITH SOME WET SNOW AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS SATURDAY
NIGHT IN THE POCONOS TO CATSKILLS AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND
THE SYSTEM.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE AREA, AND
WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECOUPLE AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.
FRIDAY WILL BE ANOTHER MAINLY DRY DAY, ALTHOUGH STILL CANNOT
TOTALLY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER, BUT MIN RH
VALUES WILL BE A BIT LOWER COMPARED TO TODAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE MOHAWK VALLEY TO THE CATSKILLS. THIS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED
AREAS WITH FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FIRE SPREAD, BUT THIS IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD AT THIS TIME.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY,
WHICH WILL BRING RAIN TO THE AREA ALONG WITH COOL TEMPERATURES
(HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S). SOME OF THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE CATSKILLS MAY MIX WITH WET SNOW, BUT LITTLE TO
NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. THE RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO
SATURDAY EVENING, BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO
EAST LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
RESULT IN MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING INTO THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. THIS DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE
THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES IN ON TUESDAY WITH MORE RAIN SHOWERS.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
NO AVIATION WEATHER CONCERNS AS VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT
ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE CURRENT TAF PERIOD (AT LEAST THROUGH
00Z SATURDAY), WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE IN CHARGE. WINDS EITHER
VARIABLE OR LIGHT NORTH NORTHWEST.
OUTLOOK:
FRIDAY NIGHT...STILL VFR EVENING. LOWERING CEILINGS AND CHANCES
OF SHOWERS ENCROACH FROM SOUTHWEST TOWARDS DAWN.
SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND ASSOCIATED
RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH.
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY VFR.
TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS MOVING IN FROM WEST TO EAST WITH
ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS.
FIRE WEATHER
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FRIDAY WITH FAIRLY LOW
HUMIDITY LEVELS ESPECIALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 81 IN NEW YORK,
INTO THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF PENNSYLVANIA. HOWEVER, WINDS
WILL BE QUITE LIGHT, WITH HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING OUR WEATHER.
A WETTING RAIN IS ANTICIPATED SATURDAY.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BJG
AVIATION...MDP
FIRE WEATHER...BJG/MDP
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