829
FXUS61 KBGM 240402
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1202 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN
CONTROL.
2) A PASSING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS SATURDAY,
PERHAPS MIXING WITH SOME WET SNOW AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS SATURDAY
NIGHT IN THE POCONOS TO CATSKILLS AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND
THE SYSTEM.
3) SEVERAL SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE INTO THE REGION WITH MIXING BRINGING
DOWN PLENTY OF DRY AIR TO THE SURFACE. WINDS DO LOOK A BIT
LIGHTER GIVEN A DECREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT. GIVEN PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE, MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD GET INTO THE 60'S TODAY.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
OUR NBM GUIDANCE IS BETTER HANDLING A LOCALIZED COOLING POCKET
SATURDAY DUE TO THE EXPECTED WIDESPREAD SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA WITH A GOOD CHUNK OF THE AREA ONLY SEEING TEMPERATURES
IN THE 40'S. ENOUGH DYNAMICAL AND EVAPORATIONAL COOLING MAY
OCCUR FOR SOME OF THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS IN NE PA AND THE
WESTERN CATSKILLS FOR RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW AT TIMES SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. MOST OF THE MODELING IS ONLY SUGGESTING A
BRIEF DURATION OF MIX OR SNOW, COUPLED WITH A WARM GROUND
ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT LIKELY AT THIS TIME.
KEY MESSAGE 3...
MONDAY STILL LOOKS LIKE A PLEASANT DAY ACROSS THE REGION WITH
HIGH PRESSURE OVER US. THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS TRENDED
SLIGHTLY SLOWER WITH MORE INDICATIONS FROM ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE
WITH SOME SHOWERS LINGERING INTO WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS WELL.
STILL SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES WITHIN THE ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AT
THIS TIMEFRAME.
AVIATION /03Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
NO AVIATION WEATHER CONCERNS AS VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT
ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE CURRENT TAF PERIOD (AT LEAST THROUGH
00Z SATURDAY), WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE IN CHARGE. WINDS EITHER
VARIABLE OR LIGHT NORTH NORTHWEST.
OUTLOOK:
FRIDAY NIGHT...STILL VFR EVENING. LOWERING CEILINGS AND CHANCES
OF SHOWERS ENCROACH FROM SOUTHWEST TOWARDS DAWN.
SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND ASSOCIATED
RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH.
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY VFR.
TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS MOVING IN FROM WEST TO EAST WITH
ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS.
FIRE WEATHER
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY WITH FAIRLY LOW
HUMIDITY LEVELS ESPECIALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 81 IN NEW YORK,
INTO THE FAR NORTHEAST CORNER OF PENNSYLVANIA. HOWEVER, WINDS
WILL BE QUITE LIGHT, WITH HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING OUR WEATHER.
A WETTING RAIN IS ANTICIPATED SATURDAY.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWG
AVIATION...MDP
FIRE WEATHER...BJG/MDP
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