923
FXUS61 KBGM 181737
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
137 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO CHANGES WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL FOR THE NEXT WEEK PLUS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY AND WARMER FOR AT
LEAST THE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
BIG BUBBLE AND ABSOLUTELY NO TROUBLE. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DRY
CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE
REGION FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK. DAYS WILL SEE HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S. EXPECT LARGE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE
SWINGS, WITH MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS AT NIGHT AND LIGHT WINDS
MAKING WAY FOR EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL COOLING. LOWS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE 30S, BUT A FEW NIGHTS COULD SEE LOWS DIP
INTO THE 20S.
FIRE WEATHER WILL BE THE ONE THING WE WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE
ON OVER THE NEXT WEEK. RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD DIP TO OR BELOW
30% DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS OF THE AFTERNOON, BUT AT THIS
TIME, WINDS APPEAR THAT THEY WILL FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH THE
PERIOD. DRY, DEAD LEAF LITTER IS ALWAYS A CONCERN FOR WILDFIRE
STARTS THIS TIME OF YEAR, SO A PROLONGED DRY PERIOD COULD MAKE
THIS FALL SEASON MORE FAVORABLE FOR WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS (AT
LEAST THROUGH 18Z MONDAY). THE ONE EXCEPTION IS EXPECTED TO BE
AT KELM, WHERE VALLEY FOG WILL LIKELY BRING IFR-OR-WORSE VISBY
RESTRICTIONS LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WHILE KELM DID
NOT HAVE FOG THIS MORNING, CONDITIONS ARE A BIT MORE FAVORABLE
TONIGHT WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY/THIS
MORNING. ANY FOG WILL DISSIPATE BY AROUND 13Z MONDAY, WHICH WILL
RESULT IN A RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS.
OUTLOOK...
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR. MORNING FOG AT
KELM POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BTL/MPK
AVIATION...BJG
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