678
FXUS61 KBGM 201737
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
137 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
ONLY CHANGES WERE TO TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS, WITH
TEMPERATURES BUMPED UP FOR THE AFTERNOONS, AND BROUGHT DOWN DEW
POINTS TO LOWER THE AFTERNOON RH.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT
WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS, WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS, AND COOL
MORNINGS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
NOT MUCH TO TALK ABOUT WEATHER WISE OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS THE
NORTHEAST REMAINS PREDOMINANTLY UNDER AN LARGE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE. A NOREASTER OFF OF THE COAST TODAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY IS
GOING TO TRY AND TAKE ON SOME TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHICH IN
TURN WILL HELP STRENGTHEN THE RIDGE AROUND THE EDGES OF THE LOW
WHERE WE ARE. TEMPERATURES THE NEXT COUPLE AFTERNOONS WERE
BUMPED UP A FEW DEGREES WITH AFTERNOON DEW POINTS LOWERED BY
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES FROM MODELS TO HELP LOWER THE RH. WITH THE
RECENT FREEZE, EVAPOTRANSPIRATION HAS LARGELY ENDED SO ITS BEEN
EASY THE LAST FEW DAYS FOR DEW POINTS TO GET WELL BELOW
FORECAST. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WITH THE SEASONABLY
WARM, DRY AFTERNOONS WITH THE LEAVES ON THE GROUND, FIRE SPREAD
WILL BE ELEVATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND LIKELY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS WE CONTINUE TO DRY OUT.
THE ONLY SEMI INTERESTING THING THIS WEEK IS A TROUGH THAT
MOVES INTO NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY AS THE LOW OFF THE COAST DEPARTS.
WITH NO MOISTURE IN PLACE, PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BEFORE
WARMING UP AGAIN SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN
CONTROL. HOWEVER, FOG CHANCES TONIGHT AT ELM ARE HIGHER THAN
PREVIOUS NIGHT'S AND IFR FOG IS NOW LOOKING MORE LIKELY THERE
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. IF FOG DOES
DEVELOP, EXPECT RESTRICTIONS UNTIL 13 TO 14Z AND THEN VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THEREAFTER.
OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR. MORNING FOG AT
KELM POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AJG/BTL
AVIATION...JTC/MPK
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