135
FXUS61 KBGM 211041
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
641 AM EDT WED OCT 21 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED SOME OF THE TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT VALUES
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT
WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS, WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS, AND COOL
MORNINGS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN A
COLD FRONT AS IT ATTEMPTS TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. THIS SHOULD ACT AS A SLIGHT COOLING TREND. WITH
THE DRY PATTERN CONTINUING LOWS SHOULD END UP SLIGHTLY BELOW
MODEL GUIDANCE WITH HIGHS ENDING UP A BIT WARMER MOST DAYS.
ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT LOOKS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION AROUND
TUESDAY NEXT WEEK. SOME ENSEMBLE MEMBERS HAVE A FEW SHOWERS WITH
IT. FOR NOW, SIGNAL TOO LOW TO MENTION ANY SHOWER CHANCES.
AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
SOME PATCHY MORNING FOG SHOULD BURN OFF AT ELM SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. PATCHY
VALLEY FOG MAY DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT, WITH TEMPORARY IFR VISBY
RESTRICTIONS AT ELM.
OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR. MORNING FOG AT KELM
POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWG
AVIATION...JTC
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