191
FXUS61 KBGM 211656
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1256 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED SOME OF THE TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT VALUES
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE THE REGION FOR AT LEAST
THE NEXT WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS, WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES,
AND COOL MORNINGS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
THE ONGOING WEATHER PATTERN IS AS UNEVENTFUL AS IT GETS FOR OUR
REGION AND FOR THE MOST PART, A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS USED.
IN FACT, WITH A VERY SIMILAR SETUP TO LAST NIGHT, TONIGHT'S
FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES WERE MOSTLY COPIED OVER FROM LAST
NIGHT'S OBSERVED LOWS WITH A FEW MINOR TWEAKS AROUND THE LAKE
PLAIN.
A MOISTURE-STARVED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON
THURSDAY, BUT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED FROM THIS FRONT. THE
ONLY VISIBLE IMPACT FROM THIS FRONT WILL BE PARTLY SUNNY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THURSDAY INSTEAD OF THE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WE
HAVE SEEN THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS, FOLLOWED BY SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND A RETURN TO ABUNDANT SUNSHINE ON FRIDAY.
ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE
MONDAY/TUESDAY TIMEFRAME NEXT WEEK, BUT CHANCES ARE THAT THIS
WILL ALSO BE MOISTURE-STARVED WITH LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
SOME PATCHY MORNING FOG SHOULD BURN OFF AT ELM SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. PATCHY
VALLEY FOG MAY DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT, WITH TEMPORARY IFR VISBY
RESTRICTIONS AT ELM.
OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR. MORNING FOG AT KELM
POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BJG
AVIATION...JTC
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