127
FXUS61 KBGM 211742
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
142 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED SOME OF THE TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT VALUES
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS, WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES, AND
COOL MORNINGS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
THE ONGOING WEATHER PATTERN IS AS UNEVENTFUL AS IT GETS FOR OUR
REGION AND FOR THE MOST PART, A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WAS USED.
IN FACT, WITH A VERY SIMILAR SETUP TO LAST NIGHT, TONIGHT'S
FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES WERE MOSTLY COPIED OVER FROM LAST
NIGHT'S OBSERVED LOWS WITH A FEW MINOR TWEAKS AROUND THE LAKE
PLAIN.
A MOISTURE-STARVED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON
THURSDAY, BUT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED FROM THIS FRONT. THE
ONLY VISIBLE IMPACT FROM THIS FRONT WILL BE PARTLY SUNNY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THURSDAY INSTEAD OF THE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WE
HAVE SEEN THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS, FOLLOWED BY SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND A RETURN TO ABUNDANT SUNSHINE ON FRIDAY.
ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE
MONDAY/TUESDAY TIMEFRAME NEXT WEEK, BUT CHANCES ARE THAT THIS
WILL ALSO BE MOISTURE-STARVED WITH LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. WITH TEMPERATURES
AND DEW POINTS EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT, PATCHY
VALLEY FOG IS LIKELY WITH TEMPORARY IFR/LIFR RESTRICTIONS AT
ELM. THE TIMING FOR RESTRICTIONS THERE IS BASED OFF OF
PERSISTENCE THE PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH LOW CLOUDS/FOG
BREAKING AROUND 13Z.
A MOISTURE-STARVED FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TOMORROW CAN
LEAD TO SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS AND NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING
AROUND 15-20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY VFR. MORNING FOG AT
KELM POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BJG
AVIATION...DK
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