092
FXUS61 KBGM 220537
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
137 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED SOME OF THE AFTERNOON DEWPOINT VALUES FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS ALONG WITH WINDS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS, WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES, AND COOL
MORNINGS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
FEW CHANGES OVERALL TO THE FORECAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL ATTEMPT TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY BUT WITH NO
MOISTURE. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND. INVERTED V
SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW UP EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. MOMENTUM TRANSFER DOES SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
STRONG WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. THE OTHER ISSUE TO TAKE INTO
ACCOUNT IS A TYPICAL MODEL HIGH BIAS OF AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN
THIS PATTERN, RGEM MODEL NOT AS BIASED HERE. YET ANOTHER COLD
FRONT ATTEMPTS TO BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE A BIT EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT
ALSO LOOKS MOISTURE STARVED.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BRING VFR CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF THE
AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. ELM MAY SEE SOME PATCHY
FOG AGAIN LATER THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS FALL
INTO THE UPPER 20S. TEMPO IFR RESTRICTIONS HAVE BEEN INCLUDED
FOR A FEW HOURS AROUND SUNRISE. WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ACTIVE AND
MAY REMAIN ACTIVE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS, LIMITING FOG
DEVELOPMENT.
A MOISTURE-STARVED FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TOMORROW
CAN LEAD TO SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS AND NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS
GUSTING AROUND 15-20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY VFR. MORNING FOG AT KELM
POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWG
AVIATION...JTC
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