847
FXUS61 KBGM 221720
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
120 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED SOME OF THE AFTERNOON DEWPOINT VALUES FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS ALONG WITH WINDS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS, WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES, AND COOL
MORNINGS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
FEW CHANGES OVERALL TO THE FORECAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL ATTEMPT TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY BUT WITH NO
MOISTURE. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND. INVERTED V
SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW UP EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. MOMENTUM TRANSFER DOES SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
STRONG WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. THE OTHER ISSUE TO TAKE INTO
ACCOUNT IS A TYPICAL MODEL HIGH BIAS OF AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN
THIS PATTERN, RGEM MODEL NOT AS BIASED HERE. YET ANOTHER COLD
FRONT ATTEMPTS TO BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE A BIT EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT
ALSO LOOKS MOISTURE STARVED.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE 18Z TAF
PERIOD. A WEAK FRONT WILL DIVE IN FROM THE NORTH THAT COULD
LEAD TO SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS AND NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING AROUND
15-20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE FOR
ELM, WHERE SOME PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP, RESULTING IN IFR
RESTRICTIONS AROUND SUNRISE.
OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR. MORNING FOG AT
KELM POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWG
AVIATION...KL
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