927
FXUS61 KBGM 231053
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
653 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THIS UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS, WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES,
AND COOL MORNINGS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE EARLY TO
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. A WEAK, DRY COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED
THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. CLOUDS ARE NOW DECREASING
AND THERE COULD BE SOME VERY PATCHY VALLEY FOG. THIS SHOULD
ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY FOLLOWED BY A
WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND. WE WILL SEE SOME COLD TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT AND AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
MID-20S TO LOW 30S BOTH NIGHTS. THERE WILL BE AREAS OF RIVER
VALLEY FOG EACH NIGHT/EARLY MORNING AS WELL. DURING THE DAY IT
WILL WARM UP INTO THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
THE OTHER ISSUE TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT IS A TYPICAL MODEL HIGH
BIAS OF AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THIS PATTERN, THEREFORE BLENDING
IN GUIDANCE TO LOWER THESE AFTERNOON DEW POINTS AND HUMIDITY
LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT ATTEMPTS TO BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE A BIT
EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT ALSO LOOKS MOISTURE STARVED. THE PATTERN OVERALL
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK REMAINS DRY OR WITH BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS
POSSIBLE LATER IN THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMEST ON
MONDAY, WELL INTO THE 60S. AFTER THE DRY COLD FRONT PRESSES
THROUGH IT'S BACK DOWN INTO THE 50S FOR TUESDAY, WITH COLD
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID-20S TO LOW 30S TUESDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
FOG AND IFR RESTRICTIONS AT ELM SHOULD BURN OFF BY 13Z, WITH VFR
CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN
TONIGHT, WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
VFR WEATHER WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THE REST OF THE TERMINALS
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR. MORNING FOG AT KELM
POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MJM/SJW
AVIATION...JTC
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