138
FXUS64 KBMX 030536
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1236 AM CDT THU JUL 3 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
SPOTTY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON NEAR
AND SOUTH OF THE 20 CORRIDOR IN ASSOCIATION WITH A NEARBY FRONT.
FOR THURSDAY, RELATIVELY DRIER FLOW ALOFT AND MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE
SHOULD RESULT IN FAIR-WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS TODAY AND THURSDAY.
89^GSATTERWHITE
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WILL
INCLUDE MEANDERING HIGH- AND LOW-PRESSURE AXES ACROSS OUR REGION.
DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE CONTENT WILL INITIALLY BE DISPLACED TO OUR
SOUTH, BEFORE MIGRATING BACK TO OUR AREA ON MONDAY. BASED ON THAT
TREND AND DAYTIME HEATING ALONE, SPOTTY/LOW COVERAGE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND (NOT LOOKING AS
ACTIVE AS RECENT DAYS), LEADING UP TO POTENTIALLY HIGHER COVERAGE
OF DIURNALLY-DRIVEN ACTIVITY AT TIMES NEXT WEEK. MINOR TO MODERATE
HEAT RISKS WILL EXIST EACH DAY.
89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1234 AM CDT THU JUL 3 2025
ALL SIGNS POINT TO DRY WEATHER AND VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOUR TAF PERIOD. JUST SOME SCATTERED
CUMULUS CLOUDS FROM AROUND 15Z TO ABOUT 00Z. NO WEATHER RELATED
AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
NOTE: AMD LTD TO CLD VIS AND WIND HAS BEEN ADDED AT MGM UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE DUE TO COMMS ISSUES.
/61/
FIRE WEATHER
A COLD FRONT IS SITUATED TO OUR SOUTH, AND DRY AIR WILL BEGIN TO
FILTER IN TO THE AREA. MIN RH WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS, RANGING FROM 50% IN THE NORTH TO 70% IN THE SOUTH.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH A NORTHWESTERLY COMPONENT. THE DRIER AIR
WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD BY TOMORROW WITH RH RANGING FROM
45-55% DURING THE AFTERNOON. DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK, BUT SOIL CONDITIONS REMAIN QUITE
SATURATED AND THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 90 67 93 69 / 0 0 10 0
ANNISTON 89 68 92 70 / 0 0 10 0
BIRMINGHAM 89 69 92 72 / 0 0 10 0
TUSCALOOSA 90 70 93 72 / 0 0 10 0
CALERA 90 70 92 72 / 0 0 10 0
AUBURN 91 72 91 72 / 0 0 20 10
MONTGOMERY 91 70 93 72 / 0 0 20 10
TROY 91 70 92 71 / 0 0 20 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...89^GSATTERWHITE
LONG TERM....89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION.../61/
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