432
FXUS64 KBMX 051106
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
606 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 129 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025
THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT AIDED IN MOVING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA ON FRIDAY IS NOW LIKELY TO THE
WEST AND NORTHWEST OF OUR AREA. DRIER AIR IN ITS WAKE, AND PERHAPS
A ZONE OF SUBSIDENCE ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF TD3, SHOULD
(SHOULD) KEEP CONDITIONS FREE FROM RAIN FOR THE VAST MAJORITY OF
FOLKS IN CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY. SUNDAY WE'LL RESTART THE PROCESS
OF DAILY INCREMENTAL POP INCREASES, AS WE REMAIN IN A FAIRLY
TYPICAL MID-SUMMER PATTERN.
/61/
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 129 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025
LOOKING AHEAD TO THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK, THE WEATHER STORY WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES EACH DAY. AT THIS POINT, THERE'S STILL NO OBVIOUS TIME
FRAME THAT STANDS OUT WITH A PREDICTABLE CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, HEAT INDEX VALUES COULD GET UP CLOSE TO 100
DEGREES IN A FEW SPOTS TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, AND WE'LL
EVENTUALLY NEED TO WATCH FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAT RELATED HAZARD
PRODUCTS.
/61/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 556 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN
ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS MUCH TOO LOW TO INCLUDE
ANY IMPACTS TO TERMINALS. LIGHT EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS AROUND 5
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME VARIABLE OR CALM OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. FORECAST GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT SOME LIGHT FOG
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA OVERNIGHT THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, BUT HAVE NOT MENTIONED ANY VIS RESTRICTIONS
JUST YET.
NOTE: AMD LTD TO CLD VIS AND WIND HAS BEEN ADDED AT MGM UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE DUE TO COMMS ISSUES.
56/GDG
FIRE WEATHER
OVERALL A DRY FORECAST FOR MOST OF THE AREA THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND,
WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS AT MOST THROUGH SUNDAY. MIN RH
WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS, WITH GENERALLY LIGHT
WINDS. THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 93 68 95 70 / 0 0 10 0
ANNISTON 92 68 92 70 / 0 0 10 0
BIRMINGHAM 93 71 95 73 / 20 0 10 0
TUSCALOOSA 94 72 95 72 / 20 0 10 0
CALERA 93 71 94 72 / 20 0 10 0
AUBURN 91 71 92 72 / 0 0 20 10
MONTGOMERY 94 72 95 72 / 10 0 20 0
TROY 92 70 94 71 / 0 0 20 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...02
LONG TERM....02
AVIATION...56/GDG
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page