058
FXUS64 KBMX 311129
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
629 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 626 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
- A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING FOR ALL
OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. CONTINUED HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS, COUPLED
WITH ACCUMULATED HEAT STRESS FROM PRIOR DAYS, WILL AFFECT
PEOPLE AND PETS WITHOUT ADEQUATE COOLING AND HYDRATION.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 105 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
500MB TROUGHING IN THE VICINITY OF THE GREAT LAKES WILL CAUSE A
WEAKNESS IN MID-LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE GULF REGION. A SURFACE
FRONT IS ALSO FORECAST TO ARRIVE. COMBINED WITH MEANDERING SURFACE
BOUNDARIES FROM WEDNESDAY'S SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, THIS SETUP
WILL FAVOR HEIGHTENED CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WE ARE ON THE TAIL END OF THE SPELL OF EXCESSIVE HEAT, BUT HEAT
INDICES AS HIGH AS 107 WILL BE EXPERIENCED TODAY BEFORE ANY
COOLING RAINS OCCUR FOR ANY GIVEN AREA.
89^GSATTERWHITE
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 105 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK, MID-LEVEL TROUGHING AND
DIURNAL SWINGS IN INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE ROUNDS OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. IT'LL STILL BE MUGGY BUT NOT
AS HOT, CERTAINLY BELOW HEAT ALERT LEVELS.
89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 626 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
ACTIVITY IS DONE AS OF 12Z, WITH SOME PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND OR FOG
DEVELOPING. LARGEST CONCENTRATION OF LOW CLOUDS IS JUST SOUTH OF
EET AND MAY SPREAD IN BEFORE SCOURING OUT. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING; HAVE HANDLED THAT WITH VCSH & PROB30 THUNDER FOR NOW. MAY
NEED TO KEEP AN ON THE STORMS AFTER SUNSET AS WE MAY SEE TRAINING
OVER AREAS THANKS TO THE NUMEROUS OUTFLOWS AS LIMITED FLOW ALOFT.
16
FIRE WEATHER
NO ISSUES FROM FIRE WEATHER ELEMENTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE COMING
DAYS. DAILY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED, MOST FOCUSED
ON THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING TIME FRAME. 20-FOOT WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT, EXCEPT VARIABLE AND GUSTY IN AND NEAR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 95 73 92 70 / 60 20 60 20
ANNISTON 93 73 91 71 / 60 30 70 20
BIRMINGHAM 94 75 92 73 / 60 30 60 20
TUSCALOOSA 94 76 92 73 / 60 30 60 20
CALERA 93 75 91 73 / 60 40 70 20
AUBURN 92 75 90 74 / 50 40 70 30
MONTGOMERY 95 76 94 74 / 60 40 70 30
TROY 93 74 92 73 / 50 40 70 30
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-
CHEROKEE-CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-
FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-
MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST.
CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON.
SHORT TERM...89^GSATTERWHITE
LONG TERM....89^GSATTERWHITE
AVIATION...16
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