150
FXUS64 KBMX 241727
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1227 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2025
THE FIRST COLD FRONT SHOULD BEGIN WORKING THROUGH THE REGION BY
TONIGHT, WITH SOME OF OUR NORTHERN ZONES DROPPING INTO THE LOW-60S.
HOWEVER, THE REAL DROP IN TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TOMORROW NIGHT,
AND INTO THE LONG-TERM. RAIN CHANCES WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO DIMINISH
AS WELL, AS THIS FIRST COLD FRONT REMOVES A LOT OF THE MOISTURE FROM
THE REGION. UNTIL THE COOLER WEATHER IN THE LONG-TERM, LOOK FOR
AFTERNOON HIGHS ON MONDAY TO RANGE IN THE LOW TO UPPER-80S.
/44/
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2025
THE START OF THE COOLER TEMPERATURES IS FINALLY HERE, AS HIGHS ON
TUESDAY WILL ONLY RANGE IN THE UPPER-70S TO MID-80S. THERE IS A
LEAST A SMALL CHANGE FOR SOME SHOWERS HERE, AS THE SECOND
REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. WELL
BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH THE
REGION REMAINING MOSTLY DRY AS WELL. HOWEVER, RAIN CHANCES MAY
INCREASE INTO THE WEEKEND, AS ANOTHER FRONT MAY WORK ITS WAY INTO
THE REGION.
/44/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2025
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, BEFORE
DIMINISHING CLOSER TO 24/00Z. BEYOND THAT, A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN
TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT, ALLOWING FOR THINGS TO DRY
OUT. SOME REDUCED VIS WILL BE POSSIBLE PAST 24/06Z, BUT CONFIDENCE
WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INTRODUCE IT AT THIS TIME. THEREFOR, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE ANTICIPATED PAST 24/00Z
NOTE: AMD NOT SKED HAS BEEN ADDED AT TCL UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE DUE TO COMMS ISSUES.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LITTLE TO NONE, AS ONE MORE DAY OF
SCATTERED STORMS IS EXPECTED. BY TOMORROW, THE COLD FRONT WE'VE BEEN
ADVERTISING FINALLY PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION, DROPPING MINRH VALUES
INTO THE 30-40% RANGE. MINRH VALUES SHOULD LINGER HERE INTO NEXT
WEEKEND, BEFORE MOISTURE BEGINS TO WORK BACK INTO THE REGION. RAIN
CHANCES ALSO RETURN TO THE FORECAST BY NEXT WEEKEND, BUT WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 62 83 61 78 / 0 0 0 20
ANNISTON 63 83 60 79 / 0 0 0 20
BIRMINGHAM 65 85 63 79 / 0 0 0 20
TUSCALOOSA 66 88 64 82 / 0 0 0 20
CALERA 65 85 63 80 / 0 0 0 10
AUBURN 67 85 63 83 / 10 0 0 10
MONTGOMERY 67 88 64 86 / 10 0 0 10
TROY 67 88 62 86 / 10 0 0 10
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM.../44/
LONG TERM..../44/
AVIATION.../44/
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