802
FXUS64 KBMX 261110
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
610 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. A WEAK SHORTWAVE DOES TRY TO DIP INTO THE REGION THIS MORNING,
POTENTIALLY LEADING TO SOME ISOLATED SHOWER ACTIVITY. HOWEVER, WITH
THE DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE, I'VE KEPT RAIN CHANCES IN THE 15-20% RANGE
ACROSS THE WESTERNMOST COUNTIES. THIS SHOULD ALL CLEAR OUT BY THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE AREA
WITH MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS THE SOUTH.
25/OWEN
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASED FORCING
AND THEREFORE INCREASED RAIN CHANCES IN CENTRAL AL THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON FRIDAY AS ANOTHER FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SLOWLY PUSHES INTO THE REGION. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT
FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS SOMEWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL OR NORTH AL, WHICH
WILL LEAD TO AT LEAST 20-40% CHANCE FOR RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE AREA.
25/OWEN
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 610 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NORTHERLY WINDS
AROUND 7 TO 8 KTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING MORE
VARIABLE TO CALM AFTER 1 TO 2Z.
NOTE: AMD NOT SKED HAS BEEN ADDED AT TCL UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE DUE
TO COMMS ISSUES.
16
FIRE WEATHER
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH MORE NORTHERLY WINDS TODAY AND
TOMORROW. MIN RHS WILL DROP INTO THE LOW 30% RANGE TODAY AND AGAIN
ON WEDNESDAY, WITH A FEW SPOTS ACROSS THE SOUTH DROPPING TO NEAR
25% ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. OVERALL RAIN CHANCES ARE MINIMAL
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT WHEN THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVES IN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 80 55 82 57 / 10 0 0 0
ANNISTON 80 56 81 59 / 10 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 81 59 82 61 / 10 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 84 60 86 62 / 10 10 0 10
CALERA 83 59 83 61 / 10 10 0 0
AUBURN 83 61 83 62 / 10 10 0 0
MONTGOMERY 86 61 86 61 / 10 10 0 0
TROY 85 61 84 61 / 10 10 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...25/OWEN
LONG TERM....25/OWEN
AVIATION...16
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page