914
FXUS64 KBMX 111852
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
152 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 145 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
A NORTH TO NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL HELP KEEP THE GULF
EFFECTIVELY CUT OF FROM MOISTURE RETURN THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.
DRY CONDITIONS, CLEAR TO PARTLY SKIES, WITH WARM DAYS AND
SEASONABLE NIGHTS ARE EXPECTED.
/61/
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 145 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LONG TERM. THE DAYTIME
HEAT WILL BUILD THROUGH THE PERIOD, LARGELY AIDED BY DECREASING
SOIL MOISTURE. RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE PERIOD REMAIN AT 5 PERCENT
OR LESS THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
/61/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2025
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH
JUST A FEW AFTERNOON CLOUDS AND WINDS BELOW 10 KTS.
/61/
FIRE WEATHER
THE DRY AND HOT WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH OUR 7 DAY
FORECAST PERIOD. MIN RHS WILL DROP INTO THE 30% RANGE FOR MOST OF
THE AREA AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS TREND WILL PERSIST INTO
NEXT WEEK. THE CENTER OF THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD
OVER THE WEEKEND, LEADING TO SLIGHTLY HIGHER DAYTIME HIGHS. THIS
WILL RESULT IN MINRHS DROPPING INTO THE 25-30% RANGE FOR MANY
LOCATIONS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH VALUES ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS, DRYING SOILS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO EXPANDING DROUGHT CONDITIONS. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
GENERALLY LIGHT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS DUE TO DAYTIME MIXING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 62 88 61 89 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 63 87 62 87 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 67 90 66 90 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 68 92 66 92 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 66 90 64 90 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 64 88 64 87 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 65 91 65 89 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 64 88 64 87 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM.../61/
LONG TERM..../61/
AVIATION.../61/
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