955
FXUS64 KBMX 110457
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
OVER THE WEEKEND, OUR FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN ON THE DRY,
WESTERN SIDE OF A COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED JUST OFF
THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH PERSISTENT NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW.
87/GRANTHAM
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
AS THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS GRADUALLY MOVES EASTWARD
DURING THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK, A VERY PROMINENT 500 MB RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONUS. A WARMING TREND
WILL ACCOMPANY THE EXPANDING RIDGE, AND AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BY
MIDWEEK MAY BE JUST A FEW DEGREES SHY OF RECORD VALUES. THERE IS
NO RELIEF IN SIGHT FROM THE WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS.
87/GRANTHAM
FIRE WEATHER
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
MINRHS WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE 30-40 PERCENT RANGE EACH
AFTERNOON. 20 FOOT WINDS MAY APPROACH 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON, BUT
RH VALUES SHOULD REMAIN JUST SHY OF RED FLAG CRITERIA. WINDS
SHOULD BECOME LIGHTER FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. OUTDOOR BURNING
REMAINS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED DUE TO ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 51 78 48 79 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 53 78 50 79 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 55 79 53 80 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 54 82 52 83 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 54 80 52 81 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 58 78 55 80 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 59 82 53 83 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 58 80 51 81 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...87/GRANTHAM
LONG TERM....87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION...87/GRANTHAM
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