108
FXUS64 KBMX 111104
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
604 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
OVER THE WEEKEND, OUR FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN ON THE DRY,
WESTERN SIDE OF A COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED JUST OFF
THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH PERSISTENT NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW.
87/GRANTHAM
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
AS THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS GRADUALLY MOVES EASTWARD
DURING THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK, A VERY PROMINENT 500 MB RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CONUS. A WARMING TREND
WILL ACCOMPANY THE EXPANDING RIDGE, AND AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BY
MIDWEEK MAY BE JUST A FEW DEGREES SHY OF RECORD VALUES. THERE IS
NO RELIEF IN SIGHT FROM THE WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD.
/44/
FIRE WEATHER
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
MINRHS WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE 30-40 PERCENT RANGE EACH
AFTERNOON. 20 FOOT WINDS MAY APPROACH 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON, BUT
RH VALUES SHOULD REMAIN JUST SHY OF RED FLAG CRITERIA. WINDS
SHOULD BECOME LIGHTER FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. OUTDOOR BURNING
REMAINS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED DUE TO ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 78 48 79 49 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 78 50 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 79 53 80 54 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 82 52 83 52 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 80 52 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 78 55 80 56 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 82 53 83 53 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 80 51 81 52 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...87
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION.../44/
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