308
FXUS64 KBMX 120459
AFDBMX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1159 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
DRY NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE AS SLOW-MOVING UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH PERSISTS TO OUR EAST. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND UPWARD,
REACHING THE LOW TO MID 80S ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A RIDGE
NUDGES IN FROM THE WEST.
87/GRANTHAM
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN RATHER STAGNANT FOR MUCH OF
THE UPCOMING WEEK AS A 500 MB CENTERED OVER THE ARK-LA-TEX REGION
CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND EXPAND. WE CAN EXPECT A CONTINUATION
OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ZERO RAINFALL.
87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1159 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH NORTHERLY
WINDS UP TO 8 KNOTS.
87/GRANTHAM
FIRE WEATHER
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 27-35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY. 20 FOOT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW RED FLAG
CRITERIA. HOWEVER, OUTDOOR BURNING REMAINS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED DUE
TO ONGOING AND WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
GADSDEN 48 80 48 82 / 0 0 0 0
ANNISTON 50 80 51 81 / 0 0 0 0
BIRMINGHAM 53 81 54 82 / 0 0 0 0
TUSCALOOSA 52 84 52 86 / 0 0 0 0
CALERA 52 82 53 83 / 0 0 0 0
AUBURN 55 80 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
MONTGOMERY 53 84 53 85 / 0 0 0 0
TROY 51 81 51 83 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...87/GRANTHAM
LONG TERM....87/GRANTHAM
AVIATION...87/GRANTHAM
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